European Championship 2025: Men’s RR, October 5

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Depends heavily on where Pogacar wants to go. The parcours is extremely different from the Euro's, and he did lose time on all the uphills today.

Pogacar last year gained about a minute on the decisive climb. I think he'll gain about the same on Ganda this year and will up his advantage later but not as much as last year: Evenepoel looks stronger and I'm not expecting him to fade as much. My final gap prediction is 1'30''-2'00''.
 
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I'm a bit surprised to see that the European champion only gets 250 UCI points, while you get 300 UCI points for winning a race like Copenhagen Sprint. I would have expected UCI to favour the European Championships more.

All continental championships get the same points. So if you increase points for the European Championships you would also have to increase for the Oceania road race for example.
 
Yeah, I agree age is in favour of Pog, but we're just on slightly part of the scale otherwise. I see Pog with basically no chance of dropping VDP at PR (without smth happening to him ofc) the next 2 years, and then give him maybe a 5% chance in the sprint.
I'm no blind fanboy of Pog at all, but seeing how he rode this year in his first outing, I would absolutely give Pog a very solid chance of dropping VDP at PR. All conjecture until next spring of course!
 

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