It's possible that it happens. It's also possible they win the Tour and they look like geniuses in hindsight.
Roglic I think would rather lose at another team having getting beaten by the better man than get sandwiched by team leadership issues and not getting a fair shot at all even. In that sense, losing at Bora is likely preferable to losing at Jumbo. Also millions of extra euros don't hurt. As for extra GT wins, it seems Rog just really wants the Tour mostly, so that's always gonna be hard.
Bora's side is just weird. 14 mill for 2 years of Roglic seems outrageous, but at the same it's a sellers market and I'd rather have 1 Roglic than Higuita, Vlasov, and Martinez together, but then I have no idea what kind of money the latter 3 are on. There are rumors that Pogacar is on like 6M/year and he looks like a bargain at that price now.