python said:if i was a betting man, i'd bet this is nibali rather than scarponi - a longer bet on having the man for the several giros to come.
looks too much like vino's calculating mind even before he became the general manager. kreuziger for the tour.
no way nibali is going to astana to stay in the shadow of kreuziger. for starters atm nibali is miles ahead of kreuziger and basso will prolly only lead liquidas in the tour this year and next year. and then will switch places with nibali letting nibali ride the tour and basso himself riding the giro 1 or 2 more times before he retires. hopefully by the time they switch nibali will have won a giro as well and he can go for the tour as one of the most successfull/proven GT riders in the current peloton. also nibali is a diesel so arguably he is still improving his climbing (don't diesel guys reach their best a bit later then explosive guys and then hold that capacity for longer?)
scarponi moving to astana is much more likely.