• The Cycling News forum is looking to add some volunteer moderators with Red Rick's recent retirement. If you're interested in helping keep our discussions on track, send a direct message to @SHaines here on the forum, or use the Contact Us form to message the Community Team.

    In the meanwhile, please use the Report option if you see a post that doesn't fit within the forum rules.


Giro 2016 third week expectations

Page 2 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.

Who will win the Giro?

  • Steven Kruijswijk

    Votes: 35 62.5%
  • Esteban Chaves

    Votes: 6 10.7%
  • Vincenzo Nibali

    Votes: 6 10.7%
  • Alejandro Valverde

    Votes: 4 7.1%
  • Rafal Majka

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Ilnur Zakarin

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Andrey Amador

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Bob Jungels

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Pippo Pozzato

    Votes: 5 8.9%
  • Other/Vino

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
  • Poll closed .
Mar 14, 2016
Visit site
Re: Re:

PremierAndrew said:
CheckMyPecs said:
PremierAndrew said:
Being the worst among all contenders and losing a minute and a half over a 10.8km climb isn't very bad?
It was bad, but not particularly so, especially when the previous day he put time into everyone bar Kruiswijk and Chaves.

By OP's standards, everyone except these two was "very bad".

Not everyone is supposed to be the favourite for the Giro, and not everyone is supposed to be the best TTist of the favourites. Sure, a mountain TT is more about climbing and less about ability on the flat, but there were still flat sections too
Wait a minute, are we talking about the TT alone, or the end of the second week, as OP said? Because if it's the former, I agree it was very bad, but if it's the latter, Nibali's performance on Saturday goes a long way towards compensating his dismal performance on Sunday.
chaves will attack kruiswijk because he can still win and is in good form with high confidence

nibali will attack everybody because 3rd place doesnt mean anything to him,astana will probably unleash hell they have no other choice

valverde will attack nibali because he wants the podium

kruisjwijk doesnt have to do anything but follow chaves and the rest of top 10 is irrelevant

my pre-Giro pick was Nibali,but it seems like Kruijswijk timed his form well and will hold on
Astana to try everything.

Astana and Nibali being too arrogant and proud to know Kruijswijk's 3rd week is his strongest. Kruijswijk counters everything. Then attacks himself. Only Chaves follows. Chaves wins some stage and both of them win by miles ahead of the rest.
Valverde to profit from Nibali blowing and gets 3rd

Dekker_Tifosi said:
Astana to try everything.

Astana and Nibali being too arrogant and proud to know Kruijswijk's 3rd week is his strongest. Kruijswijk counters everything. Then attacks himself. Only Chaves follows. Chaves wins some stage and both of them win by miles ahead of the rest.
Valverde to profit from Nibali blowing and gets 3rd

Nibali is a proud man, but arrogant? He will try everything to win this bike race and that is to be applauded no matter the outcome.
Mar 13, 2015
Visit site
Lots of things can happen. We'll see if Kruijswijk and Chaves can hold from for three weeks. I personally doubt that, I think at least one of them will loose lot of time. Nibali will attack that's for sure, but I think he lacks the strength to do serious damage. Valverde could profit from that situation, but he needs to stay sharp and focused, aggressive when occasion arises. And he needs to overcome that altitude problem
Winkin' boy said:
SafeBet said:
What do you think will happen?

1. K-Weak will follow wheels.
2. Nibbles will pop a little after a serious attack.
3. Valverde will pop hard, because he's just not good enough this time.
4. Chavez will attack with K-Weak on his wheel and take a stage
5. Zakarin will fight against Majka.
6. Jungels will follow Valverde's wheel.
7. Amador will pop harder than Valverde.
8. Uran will crash and DNS next day.
9. Pozzovivo will take a stage.

Final GC:

1. Krujswijk
2. Chavez +1'40"
3. Nibbles +4'00"
4. Zakarin +4'25"
5. Majka +5'00"
6. Valverde +6'30"
7. Pozzovivo +7'00"
8. Jungels +8'00"
9. Amador +9'40"
10. Siutsou +11'00"
So you're expecting Jungels to almost keep the gap to Kruijswijk? I must say, I find that highly unlikely.

I think the final GC could look like this, based on the climbing performances on the two mountainstages before the MTT:
1. Kruijswijk
2. Nibali
3. Chaves
4. Majka
5. Valverde
6. Zakarin
7. Siutsou
8. Fuglsang
9. Pozzovivo
10. Amador/Uran (if not sick, Uran could go higher)
I'd love to see KrushWeak take this Giro, but I'm not sure he has the Team capable of holding off or controlling what is about to come in the 3rd week. He hasn't really had a bad day yet which is unusual to say the least.....all the speak is of his 3rd week strength and historical performances....but consider how much effort he's already laid out......how much does he have left in those legs?
Astana / OGE / Movistar are not going to hand him the Giro....I'm hoping for some great bike racing this coming week.

After the obligatory rest day shenanigans *clinic* I'm expecting Astana / Nibali to go thermo nuclear and launch some long range attacks.......he needs to pull 3mins back and I hope he goes for it.

I picked Nibali from the outset and I hope he takes this Giro, however, I've become a big KrushWeak fan over the past 2 weeks and would be super stoked if he can hang in there.......bit thinking he may have burn't too many matches to get where he currently is!
Nibs FTW.....KrushWeak on the Podium......Dutch Vuelta 2.0
After admitting some of Astana’s mistakes. Slongo tried to find something to be optimistic about and made a rallying call. “We’re third overall, were not seven minutes back, but almost at three minutes. We’ve got to bounce back and try something,” he said.

“We know we’ve got the strongest team and that we could also find some allies along the road because Valverde is also still a threat. We’ll see what happens out on the road and hope for the best. For sure we won’t sit back and accept defeat.

“The racing kicks off again tomorrow (Tuesday) with the mountain stage to Andalo over the tough Fai della Paganella climb that was covered in the Giro del Trentino. It’s short but it’s far from easy and comes after the rest day. Who knows what will happen.

“Then we’ve got Friday and Saturday, which are two big mountain stages. There’s still a long way to go in this Giro. It’ll be difficult if Kruijswijk and Chaves don’t crack but it’s too early to throw in the towel.”

The gaps are such that there is no time to lose ;) and somebody has to respond as quick as possible. I can't wait for the tomorrow's stage. It's not a massive one but still pretty demanding. We'll see how they all will recover during the rest day. If they not manage to shake Kruijswijk on Tuesday then the overall will have been largely decided by that point.

Obviously, he can always crack or whatever but it seems so unlikely - not because of our assumptions about the level he and/or others should/used to be at, but because of the evidence of his form we were given last weekend...
Mar 13, 2015
Visit site
It would be good for the race if Nibali and Valverde entered into some kind of agreement. If they and their respective teams would not chase each other. I think that would turn the race upside down.
May 19, 2016
Visit site
just looking at the bookies odds - they have Kruijswijk clear favorite at $1.70, Chavito at $4.9 & Nibali at $7
Its all set up for a Kruijswijk win UNLESS Chavito attacks him and/or they attack each other, and Astana can somehow ride Nibali back into the race - which - by the way - i think they are capable of doing