Giro 2017, stage 17: Tirano - Canazei 219 km

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Lol @ Netserk. This isn't easy by any means, its a very hard transition stage, especially after a queen stage. That might open stage 18 up to see some relevant moves early on hopefully.

I guess 30-40 riders realistically can win such a stage, its impossible to pick a winner really.
 
Aprica doesn't look like a climb that would trouble riders, but it could catch someone off guard.
Fortunately, or not, there's long way to Tonale and finish.
A breakaway full of Astana riders should take this.
 
Re:

Mayomaniac said:
They should ride hard for the first 60km to make it really hard for Dumoulin, don't let him recover after such a hard effort.


That should be the plan but they won't do it. This has Contador trap stage all over it. Many times these stages are raced fast and are much harder than expected. Dumoulin and his team have to be alert.
 
As many riders as possible in the break. Let the peloton split. Hopefully riders like Landa, Amador and Kruijswijk will try something again.

How steep is the final uphill drag? 3%?

I see a nice bump between 173.7 and 178.9. Can anybody find out something about that? Looks 6%.
 
It should be pretty obvious that Luis Leon Sanchez will win this stage.

The break should be Sanchez, Costa, Visconti, Fraile, Van Garderen, Izagirre, Konrad, Stuyven, Goncalves, Rolland, Montaguti, Cataldo, Berhane, Conti, Molard, Rosa, Dillier, De Plus, Villella, Teklehaimanot, Polanc and a few random guys.
 
Re:

Hugo Koblet said:
It should be pretty obvious that Luis Leon Sanchez will win this stage.

The break should be Sanchez, Costa, Visconti, Fraile, Van Garderen, Izagirre, Konrad, Stuyven, Goncalves, Rolland, Montaguti, Cataldo, Berhane, Conti, Molard, Rosa, Dillier, De Plus, Villella, Teklehaimanot, Polanc and a few random guys.

I wouldn't mind seeing LLS or Rolland win a stage. They have been in a lot of breaks.
 
It's one of the most interesting stage designs in a while in terms of predicting the winner. I think an all-rounder with decent climbing and some rolling/sprinting skills should take this. Most likely breakaway, because nobody is going to control this unless some of the race favourites are in heavy trouble after the beginning of the stage.