Who will be the next home winner of a Grand Tour?

[Ilmaestro99]

Landa aswell, and he's actually a third-week-riser

He is also a second week crasher. I'm no going to get my hopes up until he cross the stage 20 finish

 

[tobydawq]

He is also a second week crasher. I'm no going to get my hopes up until he cross the stage 20 finish

Why not stage 15 if he is a second week crasher?

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Why not stage 15 if he is a second week crasher?

Well, he might crash in week two but only abandon later.

 

[GenericBoonenFan]

He is also a second week crasher. I'm no going to get my hopes up until he cross the stage 20 finish

True, but there is the Quick-Step effect, where every rider somehow turns in their best possible incarnation.

 

[Logic-is-your-friend]

True, but there is the Quick-Step effect, where every rider somehow turns in their best possible incarnation.

Yes, like Knox, Masnada, Lampaert, and basically everyone else except Evenepoel, the past few years.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

It's notable that all the most likely candidate mentioned in early 2021 are still the biggest possibilities

Mas
Ajuso
Landa
and
Tiberi

 

[proffate]

Pablo Torres?

At this rate I think our best chance may be the turneja po sloveniji becoming the 4th GT

 

[tobydawq]

It's notable that all the most likely candidate mentioned in early 2021 are still the biggest possibilities

Mas
Ajuso
Landa
and
Tiberi

My OP is tough to read with my high thoughts of Alaphilippe but at least the many times Ganna was brought up later in the thread make me look a bit better...

 

[RedheadDane]

Alaphilippe is indeed a possibility.

Spoiler

Nino

 

[tobydawq]

Is Mexico's flag similar enough to Italy's for del Toro to be accepted?

 

[QueenStagiaire]

Is Mexico's flag similar enough to Italy's for del Toro to be accepted?

Pellizzari will do it on Sunday so we won‘t have to ask ourselves these questions

 

[tobydawq]

Seixas seems to be in the driver's seat here.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

Things look a lot different compared to when the thread was created, when I felt it was unlikely that any then-pro would snap the streak. Seixas is obviously the most obvious shout, but Pellizzari sneaking an alienless Giro or Mas/Ayuso doing likewise at the Vuelta are all at least somewhat plausible contenders for getting there first. Heck, if Vingegaard were to crash out of the Giro it could outright happen next month.

 

[AlfaLum]

Things look a lot different compared to when the thread was created, when I felt it was unlikely that any then-pro would snap the streak. Seixas is obviously the most obvious shout, but Pellizzari sneaking an alienless Giro or Mas/Ayuso doing likewise at the Vuelta are all at least somewhat plausible contenders for getting there first. Heck, if Vingegaard were to crash out of the Giro it could outright happen next month.

Mas seems very unlikely, but I agree with the rest of the post. If Vingegaard shows any weakness Pellizzari might well be the one taking advantage from it.