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Giro d'Italia Giro d’Italia 2024, Stage 9: Avezzano – Napoli, 214.0k

More copy+paste of Devil’s Elbow’s write-up.

Stage 9: Avezzano – Napoli, 214.0k​



The first week concludes with the second-longest stage of the race. Only 1300 metres of elevation gain sounds ideal for the sprinters, but most of them come pretty late.



The route

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The stage starts from Avezzano, in the southwestern corner of the Abruzzo region. It is located at the edge of where the Fucine Lake, then the largest in the Italian peninsula (within the country as a whole, Garda and Maggiore are larger), used to be. Said lake often flooded due to its lack of an outflow and also harboured malaria. The Romans partially drained it in the first and second centuries, but the drainage systems fell into disuse in the Middle Ages and the lake grew with each century. Finally, in the late 19th century, the lake was drained completely, and the fertile lakebed becoming available for cultivation meant Avezzano grew rapidly. But then, tragedy struck in 1915 in the shape of an earthquake, which killed over 30000 people and destroyed the city, which had to be rebuilt, and then rebuilt again following Allied bombing. Today, its economy relies mostly on crops from the former lakebed as well as the satellite teleport centre, one of the world’s largest.



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There isn’t overly much to talk about for most of the stage. Once again, the riders pass through Lazio without there being a start or finish there. The most significant town visited in this portion is Cassino, completely destroyed in the Second World War in the Battle of Montecassino, one of the bloodiest in the Italian Campaign. After crossing the border into Campania, we have the intermediate and Intergiro sprints, before the day’s main course in the Naples conurbation. The finale starts with Monte di Procida, from the side descended in the 2022 Naples stage, which is the day’s sole KOM.



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A short descent takes the riders into Bacoli, where they can squabble over bonus seconds at the sprint. The route of Bacoli is a 20-metre bump into Baia, the now half-submerged Roman equivalent to the most luxury resorts on the French Riviera. It is also the start of the short, but difficult little wall up Via Petronio – only 900 metres in length, but with 100 metres at 16% out of the first hairpin. Said hairpin is where we join the route of the 2022 Giro stage into Naples, and from here on out the route is identical.





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A brief descent and a flat that isn’t much longer separate the summit from Pozzuoli, where we pass by the Roman amphitheatre and head up the hill to San Gennaio. Consistently at about 5% most of the way up on a very wide road, it isn’t the most testing hill, but coming inside the final 20k it should at least be taken at pace.

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One last hill separates the riders from the finish line in Naples. It’s probably the day’s toughest, but that isn’t saying much.

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The descent lasts until 3k from the line, then there’s a 180-degree turn at the flamme rouge that wasn’t an issue in 2022 but, if we get a sprint this time, definitely could be one.

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Naples was founded as Neapolis by the Greeks and had already become a large trading centre prior to it falling to Rome during the Samnite Wars in the late 4th century BC, a status it has maintained ever since. It reached its zenith in the 17th century, when it was the second-largest city in Europe (behind Paris) and a leading centre of the Baroque, before an outbreak of the plague claimed half its population. It has remained the largest city in southern Italy until the present day, but it is also very much a city where the effects of Southern Italy’s Sodom and Gomorra – the north-south divide and the mafia – can be felt strongly. Modern Naples is a city of high highs and deep lows, where you’re as likely to come across a remarkable piece of architecture as you are to stumble into uncollected garbage – which will it be for this stage, the third in as many years to finish here?

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What to expect?

The final two hills probably aren’t hard enough for a finisseur attack, making it a great stage for a reduced bunch sprint (think something along the lines of the stage Pedersen won at last year’s Tour, only with a flat sprint). That being said, the breakaway specialists will fancy their chances too.
 
Tune in for the last 30km? Is it the same finish as when De Gendt won-with that hairpin just before the flamme rouge seems familiar.
If the sprinters want this (regardless of how Mikkel Bjerg feels) then a 2 man breakaway and all together before the lumpy bits near the finish.
 
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Wait, what?
Who put Bjerg in charge of deciding those things?

https://cyclinguptodate.com/cycling...hren-as-he-continues-giro-ditalia-suffocation
Whilst many expected stage 8 to be a day for the breakaway, UAE Team Emirates had other plans. "The teammates wanted to go for the stage win as soon as we survived the first long categorised climb," Pogacar explains. "Mikkel Bjerg came back to the bunch and he was all-in for chasing the group in front and he and Vegard Stake Laengen did a super good job
 
I thought this was a nailed on break but now I'm not so sure.

Actually not many sprinting teams should fancy their sprinter here.
Jumbo said prior to the race they think this is a good opportunity for Kooij, Alpecin will definitely be going for this, Pithie (although he's been poor so far) won't have a better opportunity all race. If Trek want a sprint too, it's actually a nailed on day for the peloton, given how easy it is to control the first 180 kilometres.
 
Jumbo said prior to the race they think this is a good opportunity for Kooij, Alpecin will definitely be going for this, Pithie (although he's been poor so far) won't have a better opportunity all race. If Trek want a sprint too, it's actually a nailed on day for the peloton, given how easy it is to control the first 180 kilometres.
even Jayco will go for it, I guess. Ewan looked good on the climbs the past days, and a slower, headwind sprint with decimated trains should on paper suit him fairly well. There's also no reason to save Plapp anymore.
 
A large break with many teams represented and they will take it. Then the peloton will be having an early rest day.

Small break with 5-6 riders and the sprinter teams will probably bring it back.

Doesnt look like the finale is very hard but if the roads are narrow and technical it might favor opportunistic attacks. Could be difficult to control.
 
Jumbo said prior to the race they think this is a good opportunity for Kooij, Alpecin will definitely be going for this, Pithie (although he's been poor so far) won't have a better opportunity all race. If Trek want a sprint too, it's actually a nailed on day for the peloton, given how easy it is to control the first 180 kilometres.
Getting people in the break and making Trek work is too hard I guess. Can't expect DSes to make more than one accidental smart move a year
 
PCS’s profile made me think this could be another stage for Pog but looks like the sprinters vs breakaway. A can see someone going on a flier on one of the final hills.

Yeah, when I saw the official profile I was like what, this is the same stage? Had to check :D

I think this one goes to the breakaway, it's pretty long to controll all day for a final very difficult for most sprinters in the race. Even though Milan e.g. isn't all bad going uphill. There is also hardly a downhill to come back on from the top of the last hill and only a short flat section, so if it's not the break I think it will be a reduced sprint without most sprinters.

Maybe some random rider attacks and pog follows wheel just to make it a little exiting in the end, but I don't think so.

If the break is let go, this might turn out very interesting in the end. It's esasy enough and at the same time hard enough to give a variety of riders a chance.
 
None of those three teams have anyone who's likelier to win from a winning break than their sprinter is to win this sprint.
That's why you don't contribute equally to a break, and why you try to get numbers in the break as well. And not every break is the same either. It's not like Tratnik isn't good on this terrain here. And for riders in the break, having a sprinter back in the peloton is also an advantage to play.
 
I think some of the sprinters teams should try to control this stage, Visma for Kooij, Alpecin for Kroves and possibly even Trek for Milan. However if a large break goes it will be nearly impossible to bring back. I will go with Vendrame from the break.
 
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That's why you don't contribute equally to a break, and why you try to get numbers in the break as well. And not every break is the same either. It's not like Tratnik isn't good on this terrain here. And for riders in the break, having a sprinter back in the peloton is also an advantage to play.
Numbers you put into the break are numbers you lack in setting up your sprinter if things come together.

And fwiw, Tratnik says he's been dealing with a bit of sickness the past few days.
 
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I expect Alpecin and Trek to have the rolling roadblock in place before the end of the 1st km, a weak initial break and a very slow stage. Maybe there will be a stronger secondary break at the business end of the race once they get to the hill(s) and turn out of the headwind. The finish should be a good race between the late attackers and sprinters