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Giro dell'Emilia 2024 (Oct. 5)

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I disagree. Maybe he is not a worse climber in high mountains, but he was so much more explosive back then. He was by far the best sprinter/puncher in any group of climbers he was in, if we don't count Pogačar. And I believe he was more explosive than Pogačar if the race wasn't hard and long enough. Now he gets occasionally beaten in a sprint by the Gaudus and Vlasovs of this world and barely outpunches Mas on a final suited to him. There was no way todays Remco outsprints (flat ot uphill) 2020 Rogla, now I give them probably 50/50 chances.

So for a hilly course like Emilia, prime Rogla was in 2020/2021 and IMO even the super saiyan Pogi of today doesn't easily beat him.

Now that doesn't mean much for tomorrow. Pogi is a huge favourite, we all know that.
He was always prone to doing a really bad sprint if he was completely gassed. This happened even in 2019-2021.
 
First race for Pogačar in the rainbow jersey, hope for a win but Roglič shouldn't be underestimated here so Pogačar should attack before the last lap to avoid going into an uphill sprint with his countryman.

I will keep an eye on Mas, he is in good shape and already won this race in 2022.
 
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An uphill stomp? I love Pog but I'd say Rog has the edge.

In the past they both managed to beat each other in such uphill finishes. An in-form Pogacar has a ridiculous uphill finish i.e. see Grand Colombiere stage finish at the Tour 2023. I'm not sure if Rogla is as strong in explosivity this year as he was in the past, we will see (or maybe we won't if Pogacar attacks earlier).
 
There are many reasons to believe in a Pogacar victory: his level has never been higher than this year, and he’s in better shape at this point in the season than he usually is; he has never won the race before, and he will undoubtedly be extra motivated to claim his first victory in the rainbow stripes. Furthermore, his biggest rival, Roglic, may not be quite as strong as he usually is—it seems he has lost just a bit of his sharpness in the finishes—and it’s hard to see anyone else beating him in a race that almost always gets decided on the final ascent up the San Luca climb.
 
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GZHhBm0XAAAhien
 
He was always prone to doing a really bad sprint if he was completely gassed. This happened even in 2019-2021.
Yes, and he also lost sometimes to worst riders in his territory "uphill stomps" sometimes during his 2019-2021 reign. For example I remember Dan Martin in Vuelta 2020, Gaudu in Romandie 2019 (although bad positioning was the issue). It is normal because he took part in a crazy amount of uphill finishes.

But I agree with Jhonny in the fact he has lost some punch in the end, but clearly in the last couple of years (being healthy) he is better than ever in terms of w/kg, recovery and durabillity, the data give us 0 doubt about that, is just that others even improve more. Still I have the impression that when he has a top class opponent like Pogacar or Remco he can recover that monster 2021 kick a bit, I dont know if is the motivation or what...
 
In the past they both managed to beat each other in such uphill finishes. An in-form Pogacar has a ridiculous uphill finish i.e. see Grand Colombiere stage finish at the Tour 2023. I'm not sure if Rogla is as strong in explosivity this year as he was in the past, we will see (or maybe we won't if Pogacar attacks earlier).
This. Even in the 2020 Tour, I saw Pogacar outsprinting Roglic in a uphill sprint.
EDIT: 2021 Pais Vasco is a good example too
 
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Another boring race result incoming ...There isnt even a doubt no matter who tries to giz up anticipation with 'this one can do that or that one can do this'.

Nothing left to talk about or anticipate except if one Vuelta and a LBL is worth a podium at the Tour

As for Primoz's and Pog's relationship body language would suggest its not easy ....and to be expected. Roglic, one of the best in the world is super competitive and its got to hurt that he is so overshadowed by his countryman (no matter what he says or how he smiles) . I'm feed up of Pog's dominance and I dont even ride a bike
 
Another boring race result incoming ...There isnt even a doubt no matter who tries to giz up anticipation with 'this one can do that or that one can do this'.

Nothing left to talk about or anticipate except if one Vuelta and a LBL is worth a podium at the Tour

As for Primoz's and Pog's relationship body language would suggest its not easy ....and to be expected. Roglic, one of the best in the world is super competitive and its got to hurt that he is so overshadowed by his countryman (no matter what he says or how he smiles) . I'm feed up of Pog's dominance and I dont even ride a bike
We don’t need more people riding a bike, we need more armchairs.