Re:
Andro said:
Really weird why they even include the last flat part in the stage instead of just ending at the top of the climb.
Nibali to go bananas on the descent from Grappa.
I actually like the flat section after the final climb. It's the final mountain stage, so there will be gaps. Everyone still needs to get time on Tom D and the dynamics will change after the top of the final climb. The GC contenders with the best climbing legs will have to attack on the climb, Tom D will try and limit his losses and recoup them on the plateau (it's not a bad climb for him, but fatigue should be a larger factor in his case).
Otherwise, there will be attacks and counter-attacks.
Nibali might try an ambush at the top of the Grappa, and so teams getting into the breakaway will be very important.
Often on the final mountain stage, I would expect the breakaway to be caught and the strongest rider to impose themself in the finale. This time round, it's difficult to state who is the strongest. There is one rider though who could both win from a break or match the GC contenders and, if he plays his cards right, take advantage of the GC rivalry between the few riders in the running at the top of the climb. The man in blue (no, not from Gazprom).
As for what happens on GC, I'm tending towards Nibali moving into the best position before the time trial (not necessarily in pink, but close enough to Nairo and far enough ahead of Tom D), but hope that Tom D is on a better day tomorrow. On the other hand, the fatigue and opportunities for temporary alliances mean that lots could and should happen. Any of the top 5 still has a chance of winning the race and I'm probably less convinced by the chances of the pink jersey holder than by the chances of the other 4. You would think it has to be a great GC showdown (although possibly in slow motion).