Giro d'Italia 2018 - 2nd restday: Winning margin for Yates?

[Netserk]

By how much will Simon Yates win this Giro by?

Current standings:

*Made it with 30 second intervals instead.

 

[PremierAndrew]

Just yesterday, this looked like potentially a 3 horse race. Amazing how much changes in one day

 

[Eclipse]

Depends if he wants to push on for more or if he's happy defending once he's sure he's wrapped it up after the TT.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

4/5 min

 

[Bot. Sky_Bot]

I don't care, he will win it, great and fully deserved.
And: what was more deserved win in last ca. 5 years?

 

[Red Rick]

Depends on what he wants. He's gonna go to the final mountain block with pink.

 

[Red Rick]

Re:

I don't care, he will win it, great and fully deserved.
And: what was more deserved win in last ca. 5 years?

Every single one of them were deserved.

 

[Bot. Sky_Bot]

Re: Re:

I don't care, he will win it, great and fully deserved.
And: what was more deserved win in last ca. 5 years?

Every single one of them were deserved.

Could you, please, be more specific?

 

[Gigs_98]

Re: Re:

I don't care, he will win it, great and fully deserved.
And: what was more deserved win in last ca. 5 years?

Every single one of them were deserved.

Could you, please, be more specific?

That actually is pretty specific

 

[luckyboy]

2mins+ if he keeps this level and keeps attacking in the Alps + Prato Nevoso

 

[Frankschleck]

Re: Re:

I don't care, he will win it, great and fully deserved.
And: what was more deserved win in last ca. 5 years?

Every single one of them were deserved.

Nah nibali was lucky in 2016 in my opinion.

 

[LaFlorecita]

I voted 1'30" - 1'59". I think he'll lose 1 to 1.5 min in the TT and I expect him to get slightly weaker in the final stages. Still see him winning comfortably.

 

[Velolover2]

What is the most likely podium at this point?

1. Yates
2. Dumo
3. Pinot?

I can't see Pozzovivo on the podium with the upcoming flat time trial.

 

[Netserk]

Yates
Dumo
Froome/López

 

[ice&fire]

Re:

What is the most likely podium at this point?

1. Yates
2. Dumo
3. Pinot?

I can't see Pozzovivo on the podium with the upcoming flat time trial.

I guess people will still be surprised if Pozzovivo does a better ITT than Pinot for the second time this Giro

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Yates
Dumo
Pinot

Pozzo just doesn't have that bit extra, which I expect from Pinot in the 3rd week. Lopez will lose too much in the TT

 

[Brullnux]

Re:

What is the most likely podium at this point?

1. Yates
2. Dumo
3. Pinot?

I can't see Pozzovivo on the podium with the upcoming flat time trial.

Pozzo has a better record than Pinot in ITTs at Grand Tours. And it's after a rest day.

 

[Velolover2]

Re: Re:

What is the most likely podium at this point?

1. Yates
2. Dumo
3. Pinot?

I can't see Pozzovivo on the podium with the upcoming flat time trial.

Pozzo has a better record than Pinot in ITTs at Grand Tours. And it's after a rest day.

True, but those were at least hilly or very lumpy. But I think this one is too flat for a little guy like him.

Pinot is 10 kg+ heavier and 5 inches taller. And if it's windy, Pozzo is gonna suffer a lot.

 

[Jspear]

I picked the 1:30-2:00. Seems most agree with that.

 

[tobydawq]

I had to pick "He won't win" since that is the most likely of the listed possibilities. Of course that doesn't mean that it is most likely that he doesn't win, which I think he will do.

 

[MountTiede]

44th in the Vuelta last GT of 2017, followed by a runaway "Armstrongesque" type performance in the first GT of 2018, riding away from climbing specialists at will - Yates performance by any objective measure is highly suspicious.

 

[Escarabajo]

Re:

Just yesterday, this looked like potentially a 3 horse race. Amazing how much changes in one day

Who was the third one?

 

[yaco]

Re:

44th in the Vuelta last GT of 2017, followed by a runaway "Armstrongesque" type performance in the first GT of 2018, riding away from climbing specialists at will - Yates performance by any objective measure is highly suspicious.

Should never have ridden the Vuelta 2017 - Never recovered after the 2017 TDF.

 

[MADRAZO]

Re: Re:

What is the most likely podium at this point?

1. Yates
2. Dumo
3. Pinot?

I can't see Pozzovivo on the podium with the upcoming flat time trial.

Pozzo has a better record than Pinot in ITTs at Grand Tours. And it's after a rest day.

Pinot beat Pozzovivo by a minute in the very comparable flat time trial last year with both in similar good form. I would expect PInot to beat him with at least a minute now. Pozzovivo is great in technical and hilly time trials but when it is totally flat he is not that good.

 

[Velolover2]

Re:

44th in the Vuelta last GT of 2017, followed by a runaway "Armstrongesque" type performance in the first GT of 2018, riding away from climbing specialists at will - Yates performance by any objective measure is highly suspicious.

You are being selective. He was 6th in 2016 Vuelta at the young age of 24 (the year BEFORE) and one of the most promising riders in his U23 years.

I agree that there are suspicious riders out there but Yates is CLEARLY a talent.