Giro d'Italia 2018 stage 16: Trento – Rovereto 34.2 km ITT

[Red Rick]

STAGE 16: Trento – Rovereto 34.2 km ITT

May 22nd

Technical Overview:
The final ITT of the Giro comes after the final rest day, and it's quite an average one. Surprisingly, it is not sponsored by a wine, for the first time since 2013. From Trento, each rider will head south along the Adige River, for what is mostly a flat time trial. It is divided into three time sectors: the first, pan flat, ends in Aldeno at km 12.7. The second is mostly similar to the first, but features the only difficulty of the route, that comes at km 24, just before the time split in Nogaredo, but even if it looks like a wall on the profile, it doesn't reach 5% and it's around 1 km long. Nothing much. Finally, the third sector has some rolling terrain and a few tricky turns, but it shouldn't matter much. An ITT for pure specialists.

Final km

What to Expect:
A 40' solo effort, consistent gaps between the specialists and the pure climbers.

Trento

 

[PremierAndrew]

Simon Yates to win by 10 minutes... and maybe even breathe through his mouth a bit

 

[Brullnux]

Re:

Simon Yates to win by 10 minutes

Only?

 

[SlickMongoose]

Yates will lose about 2 mins IMO.

 

[Gigs_98]

Re: Giro d'Italia 2018 stage 16: Trento – Rovereto 34.2 km I

I can still see Dumoulin taking pink here, but it's certainly not likely. One year ago I would have bet a lot on him losing clearly over two minutes on Dumoulin in this TT but after his climbing improved so much one just has to expect that he is a much better TT'er as well now. Anyway, quite remarkable that the guy who lost 3:45 to Froome in the Vuelta 2016 TT is suddenly expected to lose less than a minute to Dumoulin.

 

[roundabout]

Expected by who?

 

[Carols]

Big Tom in his element and takes 1:30 to 2 minutes on Yates to win the ITT. But it's not enough to win the Giro. Yates is the strongest rider in the race and takes more time in the coming mountain stages.

 

[DanielSong39]

Dumoulin or Dennis?

Could be another specialist though.

 

[Bot. Sky_Bot]

It doesn't matter, S. Yates will win in Rome.

 

[Red Rick]

Before this weekend I'd have said Yates would lose around 1'30 but now I'm thinking it's more like 1'10.

 

[Climbing]

I still think that Yates will lose between 1:30 and 2:00 minutes from Dumo.
Pozzo to surprise, Pinot standard mediocre TT.

 

[JosephK]

Yates to finish 2nd in the TT, 20 seconds down on Big Tom but ahead of Rohan Dennis. Pinot and Pozzo drop 2:30ish to Tom D.

 

[Bavarianrider]

Re: Giro d'Italia 2018 stage 16: Trento – Rovereto 34.2 km I

Well, if this was 54km, we would be in for an exciting last week. Given the abmisal 34km, though everything is decided in Yates favor already.

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Dumoulin or Dennis to win.

Yates to stay within <1 min and keep pink.
The only hope is that it is super windy. That could be a disadvantage for Yates, especially headwind.

 

[Eyeballs Out]

Much depends on the weather. Current forecast is light headwind and rain also a possibility. Dumoulin wants it as windy as possible

 

[Poursuivant]

Dumoulin to take 1:37 on SPY, and the stage.

 

[UselessToo]

Victor Campenaerts will win this stage

 

[luckyboy]

Just change the route so we can have a Bondone MTT and watch Basso stomping Simoni, Piepoli and the Buffalo again

 

[The Chicken]

If Dumo wins this Giro thanks to his strong TT then the entire race has been a joke and a farce. He hasn't shown enough in the mountains (yet) to deserve overall victory. We all know who deserves to win this bike race.

 

[Laplaz]

Dumoulin
Yates 1'30
Pozzo, Pinot 2'10
MAL 2'40

 

[yaco]

Really interested to see how Dennis goes in this stage - Has never been this deep as a GC rider - He's around Dumoulin's level so should finish close to him in the ITT.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Dennis vs tom vs pozzo.

 

[Red Rick]

Campenaerts should really win this.

 

[eric_vv]

Re:

If Dumo wins this Giro thanks to his strong TT then the entire race has been a joke and a farce. He hasn't shown enough in the mountains (yet) to deserve overall victory. We all know who deserves to win this bike race.

If Dumoulin wins because of his TT it means he has shown enough in the mountains. You might not like it, but that doesn't make it a farce.

I hate timebonusses and if Yates wins this Giro with less than 30 sec he won't be the fastest over the course. That sill wouldn't make the race a farce, but it would bug me.

I don't think either of those scenario's is likely because Yates seems strong enough to limit his losses in the TT and win some more time later.

 

[Bavarianrider]

Re:

If Dumo wins this Giro thanks to his strong TT then the entire race has been a joke and a farce. He hasn't shown enough in the mountains (yet) to deserve overall victory. We all know who deserves to win this bike race.

Lol, People like you are the reason that GT are such pussy races These days.
If anything, Yates doesn't deserve a GT win if he manages to lose it in an abmisal 34km joke.