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Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2023, stage 16: Sabbio Chiese - Monte Bondone 203 km

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Fortunato from the breakaway, I expect Eolo to try to get him + another guy for the flat in the breakaway/a teammate helping him to make the breakaway on the flat start. Him an Cepeda are probably the only guys who have the climbing legs to make it from the breakaway on such a hard climb, assuming that anyone within 10min won't be allowed in the breakaway.
 
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The again, look at how they used those 2 on Crans-Montana...
By now Ineos are all in on the Thomas train.
If they are, then it makes no sense to have both De Plus and Arensman stay that close in GC, as well as Sivakov before his crash. Then those guys could have taken turns staying with Thomas in the final while the other took a day off. They could both have saved a lot of energy with the third week in mind and been at 30 minutes in GC.
 
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Put a rain jacket on that.
 
And SD Worx are the most successful women's team. That doesn't mean they're tactical masterminds. Most of Ineos' success has been predicated on a simple bludgeoning tactic built out of having the strongest rider and strongest support squad in the race and just riding on the front until everybody drops, and when they've had to think outside of the box they've been found wanting on a number of occasions. There are occasional exceptions, but by and large that has been the tactic that has underpinned their decade of dominance, and it hardly takes a tactical wizard to come up with that.

100% correct - They tried to adopt the same tactics in the Classics and they wondered why they were unsuccessful.
 
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So who's going to save themselves for the second sprint at the base of the last climb? One has to wonder sometimes about the organizers ...
I'd expect the Ineos train will take over from FDJ on the first climb and then it'll be all the way to near the finish. Hope Pinot is not expected to do team duties so he can get in the break as I would expect the breakaway to get the win and the GC guys to grind it out. Regardless of what you see on TV, there'll be treacherous conditions and a strong headwind all the way to the finish. Come to think of it, I believe there could be a strong headwind all week!
 
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Fortunato from the breakaway, I expect Eolo to try to get him + another guy for the flat in the breakaway/a teammate helping him to make the breakaway on the flat start. Him an Cepeda are probably the only guys who have the climbing legs to make it from the breakaway on such a hard climb, assuming that anyone within 10min won't be allowed in the breakaway.
Vine and McNulty?
 
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