Giro d'Italia Giro d'Italia 2025 stage 20: Verrès – Sestrière, 205 km

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I managed to get through the day with my eyes closed and my ears covered before having a timeslot for watcing this stage. Now right this moment I've just watched the stage in its full wrath.

And just jumped in here on the thread and haven't aligned with the after-talk consensus here about what actually happened on this memorable day, so please bear with me.

So these will be my completely immediate, unfiltered, unthought-out outpourings, here just minutes after letting my eyes watch this.

I'm left paralyzed with a concentrated pot mix roller coaster of emotions along breathtakingly beautiful views, drama, amazement, giggles, excitement, despair, rapture, disbelief, bliss, regret, delight, anguish, ecstasy, devastation and euphoria.

A stage that has hammered itself solidly into the history books.

My cycling pal said it the other day: "Simon Yates is the Zubaldier, except he doesn't finish 10th but takes them all with their pants down". That's the thought I immediately got when he jumped up to Del Toro and Carapaz. Yates seemed like the one who had hidden the most in the bag.
And once I had thought about the idea, and thought about the two fighting brothers, it seemed completely surreal to see it before my eyes - a stray thought that took hold and then developed mercilessly over so much torment.

The #RaboFail curse has finally been lifted.

Now replaced by

#UuAAaEeeerrgh!?
#CaraWhaaz?!

Oh, that was too many words... in reality all I can say is "rrrggh, uurgh. mmmhh,, wtf? rrrrhhuhh" and just striving for watching the entire stage again.

OK, yep! That'll be what I do right now.
I'll rewatch it during the dark winter months anyway.
 
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OK here at the initial stages, starting watching the stage for the second time in a row, there's room for further considerations.

While things went on before my eyes, thought about how the stage would have ended up, if Mikkel Honoré had not eyed a gap behind, hence a full pull leadout to Carapaz, shortly into Finistre.
After that, it was according to the EF plan to let Carapaz do what he do best; attack Del Toro.
And then the nature of the race and the fiery temper, the situation the two between was locked.
I would venture the claim that Del Toro over 18km Finistre was loosing time, compared to Yates, well helped by non-uniform ride with plenty attacks in Carapaz-Del Toro group, compared to Yates steady full pull to the top.

Ofc Yates got easy seconds in stall mate games down behind. But even when Carapaz pulled over longer sections, Yates pulled away from them where it started to hurt.

But in my eyes, that is the inner logic of the race; Carapaz must use his weapon against Del Toro. He tried hard from the bottom of the climb. He made sure of several counterattacks.

Here it's easy to be wise in hindsight.

I think not only EF but most people expected Del Toro to crack up Finistre with bombardmrns of Carapaz attacks. Should EF really have invested in driving a bus for Del Toro to the throne until the last 2-3 kilometers of Finistre? Knowing that UAE would very well have the upper hand afterwards towards Sestrieres?
 
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I rewatched the race and I think that Yates was stronger than I realised. After Carapaz second big attack the duo is like 30 meters behind Yates, and even though Carapaz is pulling hard, they cannot close the gap, then they stop. Then at the top Carapaz start pacing in the last 2 km and he gains 20 sec with an acceleration but then thay stagnates between 1:38 and 1:43, even though they had spent more time in the wheel of Gee. Maybe Del Toro could have done more on the climb, but the only extended period when he stayed at the front actually trying was 1-2 km into the dirt road and honestly he was not looking so incisive.
 
I'm pretty sure Yates would have won even without Wout. (Not to take anything away from Wout's performance.) But the fact that he was in the right place at the right time to slam the door shut on the chasers must have completely demoralized them when tempers were already inflamed. I think he definitely compelled IDT/UAE to pivot to riding for second much earlier than he would have.
 
I rewatched the race and I think that Yates was stronger than I realised. After Carapaz second big attack the duo is like 30 meters behind Yates, and even though Carapaz is pulling hard, they cannot close the gap, then they stop. Then at the top Carapaz start pacing in the last 2 km and he gains 20 sec with an acceleration but then thay stagnates between 1:38 and 1:43, even though they had spent more time in the wheel of Gee. Maybe Del Toro could have done more on the climb, but the only extended period when he stayed at the front actually trying was 1-2 km into the dirt road and honestly he was not looking so incisive.
If you rewatch, the argument that Carapaz or Del Toro could have just pulled him back fall really flat.
 
There was a point when Carapaz and Del Toro was really close to Yates, not more that 15-20 metres. At that point Carapaz slowed down, I really thought Del Toro would bridge the gap to Yates then , it was his best chance if he had. The dynamic would have been completely different then. Maybe Yates would have attacked again, but maybe not. I guess Del Toro simply didnt have it.
 
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Of all the craziness that happened in the climb, the true tactical disaster from EF and UAE was letting the beak with Wout in it, and no one from their teams, have 10min at the base of the climb.

If they had made it just 6 min then Jumbo's master plan doesn't work.
 
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I think he was on the limit, and his (bolded) statement (I assume it's correct but I haven't heard it yet) maps well to that supposition. You don't want to go into the red with 9k left on Finestre and Sestrieres still to come.

I think if he wasn't on the limit, he'd have done exactly as you suggested, a quick acceleration to drop Carapaz and follow Yates. He'd done that several times when feeling good during this race.

People do get tired in bike races. Tired = mistakes, both physical and mental.
He said something to that effect in an Italian interview, but, yea, he probably was near limit. Although, with one day to go, you'd think del Toro would have emptied himself to try to save the jersey. Instead, probably at the moment he did not try to close on Yates, if not before, he already decided to race to ensure second place. Personally, I'd rather have seen him go all in to win the Giro, at the risk of losing the podium, than to race for second when so close to glory.
 
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OK here at the initial stages, starting watching the stage for the second time in a row, there's room for further considerations.

While things went on before my eyes, thought about how the stage would have ended up, if Mikkel Honoré had not eyed a gap behind, hence a full pull leadout to Carapaz, shortly into Finistre.
After that, it was according to the EF plan to let Carapaz do what he do best; attack Del Toro.
And then the nature of the race and the fiery temper, the situation the two between was locked.
I would venture the claim that Del Toro over 18km Finistre was loosing time, compared to Yates, well helped by non-uniform ride with plenty attacks in Carapaz-Del Toro group, compared to Yates steady full pull to the top.

Ofc Yates got easy seconds in stall mate games down behind. But even when Carapaz pulled over longer sections, Yates pulled away from them where it started to hurt.

But in my eyes, that is the inner logic of the race; Carapaz must use his weapon against Del Toro. He tried hard from the bottom of the climb. He made sure of several counterattacks.

Here it's easy to be wise in hindsight.

I think not only EF but most people expected Del Toro to crack up Finistre with bombardmrns of Carapaz attacks. Should EF really have invested in driving a bus for Del Toro to the throne until the last 2-3 kilometers of Finistre? Knowing that UAE would very well have the upper hand afterwards towards Sestrieres?
I just managed to watch the action from 100km out. EF started the push there and let it drag for 20km. No one of significance was distanced aside from the building sprinter gruppeto. Carapaz was back and forth to the car, jumping around his doms who are pulling what appears to be hard, for them. They're tired and you still have 80 km to go. Richie deciding at that point (did someone in the car encourage him?) to apply unilateral effort was completely useless. When the Yates' gap became of concern I think he was done, physically. Del Toro was stalling because he was tired and he expected more aggression. At the point he didn't take up the chase at all he proved he was a Neo-Pro both physically and tactically. The last 2-3 kms were academic tactics with no assets. Colossal collapse by two teams who snatched defeat from a hard fought triumph.
Cheers to Yates. He went all in and gets the reward!
 
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