And how could you be so sure? He looked pretty sharp to me in his last three races. I would say only two or three guys maybe have a better form, but just maybe...
According to me we agree that Valverde can obtain a good result in Fleche and LBL. The only difference i guess is that you think he can obtain the highest spot on the podium in those races.
Apart from the form there are also other factors that can play a big factor in those kind of races. In Fleche it all comes down on a good positioning at the final climb. Ask Dan Martin how many times he had good legs, but due to bad positioning he blew his chances. Before his winning streak in Huy, i have also seen Valverde badly placed multiple times. There were times then i'd think he would never win in Huy again.
In Fleche he has the biggest chance i think. Liege will be more difficult, as i think he will be isolated very soon. In the prime years he could rely on a Rodriguez, Visconti, Izagirre in the final. For now he needs to adjust his race to that of teams who want to control the race, so that he can sprint to a topposition at the end.