bissib said:
You consider owning a small grocery shop being rich? I'm also not sure what you mean by "instability" as the only notable moments in recent decades were a non-violent revolution that happened before Sagan was even born and the peaceful dissolution of Czechoslovakia that happened when Sagan was 2 years old. I'm his age and from the same country and I can tell you that Slovakia really wasn't/isn't the Wild East you know from American movies. With the same amount of "morality for sale" as any other western country.
As for people saying he could have been doping since his youth - Sagan has been pretty much dominating his categories since the age of 9, he's just a natural talent. I'm not saying he is clean now, but he was already winning everything at a time when he was definitely clean.
Now, first off - don't exaggerate what I said. Example, when did I equate the Sagan family status to being rich? Although, I am still skeptical that they are the lower middle class as they are portrayed. Upper middle class, with expendable income, will do nicely. Now, as to that special moment of non-violent conversion from the Soviet bloc to an independent country?
Well, I'm not getting my impressions from American movies. I am getting my impressions from 1: having lived and worked in Russia for a time, 2: having economic training in my background, and a special interest in the economic history of Russia over the last 2 decades, 3: visits to Poland and conversations with Poles about their experiences during the times of change, 4: friends and acquaintances from Russia, the Ukraine, Romania, Hungary, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, with whom I have discussed the economic experiences over the past 20 years.
I'll admit, I know no one from Slovakia, but now I'm having a conversation with you, and your IP address confirms that you are posting from Slovakia. All the rest of the former Soviet bloc has had huge economic upheaval and issues during the change and since. Most are still experiencing huge economic issues. We also know of the huge difficulties experienced in your other next door neighbors - the former Yugoslavia.
In any of those countries, even having the income of an upper middle class family would allow one to buy things, usually more than what one could get in, say, Britain, on a similar income. Lots of stuff was on the black/grey market as well.
Now, if Slovakia escaped all this turmoil and economic upheaval, great. But I know things in lots of your neighbors are still very grim.
If you think my suspicions regarding the economics of Slovakia are misplaced, I apologize, and would love to hear more about what things are like today. It doesn't really impact my suspicions regarding Sagan's cleanliness.
While you probably won't have seen it, I have posted before that I hope Sagan is riding clean. But until we have more confidence in the testing regimes of the UCI, and more confidence in a culture of transparency from the peloton, I don't think I will have any confidence that Sagan is riding clean.