roundabout said:
Wait, a guy curb-stomping his opposition for what seems like 90% of the time (admittedly in 1-day races but as a counter point he has never aimed at getting a GC result in bigger stage races) is a sign of 'natural hierarchy'?
What makes you think that Gilbert is that good? Because people assume that he is clean (after the "I'll never be a Tour winner" article which even now seems to hold true) and does Merckx like things? Really? This much is enough to turn a blind eye to a fraud?
hmm. you may want to consider taking it down a notch. the vehemence of your reply was pretty off the wall considering the amount of doubt and qualifying in my original post.
actually gilbert
was in fact supposed to be really really good. and his early results were (1) disappointing to many and (2) usually only at the beginning and end of seasons (het volk) when fewer riders were probably blood doping and (3) non-existant in mid season when most would be.
however, to extrapolate from there and say that he is not doped may indeed be far-fetched, I agree.
how is he then getting away with such extreme doping while others appear to have been limited?
and what would racing look like if blood doping were curtailed?
like this somewhat or not?
how would we possibly know what the natural hierarchy would look like? how will we recognize it? i always found it odd that despite all the doping we knew about people still think vino and basso and contadope should all still be at the top if things were restrained. how do we know that? that would seem to argue the idea that all doping is equal and it's an even playing field -- which we know is false.
so when we see cunego with a natural hematocrit exemption performing well in the high mountains in the last week of a tour. when we see evans (with a low 90s vo2max) grinding up the galibier for the last ten km (not at the usual superhuman robot-speed) slowly dropping the climbers who used to sprint up mountains away from him, when we see three garmin riders (a team -- whether you like it or not -- who was the first to swear off needles and one of the few teams to join the extra group for clean cycling, forget the name) riding in the top twelve in the alps in the last week of the tour, when we see several french riders remaining competitive in the high alps and one on top of alpe...
I'm not saying that any of these riders are necessarily clean, or even cleanish. all i'm asking is:
isn't this one way cycling could look if there were less blood doping?
perhaps. perhaps not. it's frustrating not to know. and maybe it will take time and obviously a continued crackdown.
i honestly don't know. (clearly, however, you do)