I predict 14 between the 6 of them. Pog and Wout will get their usual 3, Vingegaard at least 2, a couple for VDP and another 4 for the sprinters.I think that means Red Rick believes any bonus seconds gained by Pogacar in the first week will be totally moot & redundant when Vingegaard drops a watts bombs in the mountains & gains huge time on Pog (that's how I interpret it anyway).
But he does have a point about Alaphilippe (& others like him), i.e. if last year's TdF is anything to go by, the Tour will be a plaything for a few super riders whilst everyone else eats km's for nothing.
Vingegaard, Pogacar, Van Aert, Van der Poel, Jakobsen & Philipsen will win stages. Multiple stages for some of them. It doesn't leave much else other than crumbs for anyone not at their level.