argyllflyer said:
Dodgy passport results collected in 2011 and 2012. Data taken in early 2013 suggests an issue with the 2011/12 data I assume or jars with his baseline readings. He is notified in mid 2013 of the problem with his data. It is not 2 years. The year's delay since then is accounted for by his own appeal to the initial findings and the UCI's own experts then taking time to consider it - and reject it.
It is two years. The initial abnormalities began in March 2011, yet he never received any notification until June 2013. The abnormalities in 2011 were reported to occur over a period of five months, and there were additional abnormalities in the spring of 2012, yet you think they needed 2013 data to confirm them, or to obtain more baseline data?
I understand how the biopassport works, probably better than most other posters here, and I understand that it’s very hard to build a sanctionable case. I understand the process of triggering the criteria, then sending the data to a panel of experts. But if either the 2011 or 2012 data triggered the criteria, the panel should have looked at it and reached a decision before May 2013. If data in 2011 and 2012 didn't trigger a red flag in the software, then there was nothing to act on.
It may be that because of the difficulty of building cases that UCI is now sitting on possibly suspicious data for years, constantly checking with new data. That is, they may not even make the determination of whether data need to be examined by experts for a long time after they have analyzed it by the software. But if they’re doing that, they ought to let the riders know. I’m not in great sympathy with Kreuziger, but I think he has the right to know if data that were collected years in the past might come back to haunt him. If riders have to worry for years about some sample they gave, fine, I have no problem with that. But tell them that they have to worry. Don’t just spring it on them.
And let's not kid ourselves. If UCI is sitting on data like that, then the possibility for corruption does arise. I'm not accusing the UCI of doing this to help Froome, or anything like that. But if they can wait a prolonged time before notifying the rider, anyone in the organization who did want to help or hinder someone would certainly be given a powerful tool to use. You don't have to believe someone has abused his power to argue against a system that makes abuse of power possible.
JV1973 said:
My point when I said 80-85% clean in 2005, is that there were plenty of guys slogging away in the grupetto clean in 2005. That was not true in 1996. by 2005, it was possible to be a professional cyclist without doping, albeit a mediocre one. In 1996, that was not a possibility, the grupetto would leave you for dead. It was an invisible, but still significant cultural change.
So you think USPS/Disco was an aberration, that most teams only featured their GC favorite doping?
And why do we continue to get lesser fish caught, DiLuca, and so on, if these are the riders most likely to be clean? Is it just statistics? There are so many more non-contenders, that one of them is more likely to get caught, even though a smaller proportion of them are doping?
If the peloton was 80-85% clean in 2005, and we know almost all of the top ten were doping, that would suggest the non-contenders were more like 90% clean. And if that trend has continued, one would think that by now almost all non-contenders are clean. Yet it seems that it's still the relatively little fish that get caught most of the time.