jens_attacks said:
not a big fan of my blog i see
What’s the problem? I said at least 10%. That was based on comparing Pantani’s fastest time with Herrera’s, which seems to be the fastest time ever recorded before the 90s; the difference was about 12%. There are some other fairly fast times pre-1990 that as far as I can tell haven’t been officially recorded because the rider didn’t win. In at least one case, IIRC, the rider might have recorded a faster time than the winner, because the winner went into the climb with a lead. In any case, as you well know, pre-1990, there is a great deal of uncertainty in most times.
andy1234 said:
This.
LeMond was one of the great riders of his generation, but each generation turns up equal talent, and usually more than one. For some posters, the suggestion that anyone may be the equal of LeMond, is tantamount to heracy.
Strange, considering that his peers, the likes of Hinault and Fignon at their best, could make LeMond seem surprisingly ordinary.
There are riders in the current peloton, and pelotons over the history of the sport, who are the equal of LeMond.
Who they currently are? Who knows? but they are there, and performances need to be viewed with that potential in mind.......
Given that we don’t know who they are, how exactly do you propose that we view current performances with that in mind? I think what you’re intending to say is that a standout rider today could very well be clean. But are you aware that a rider today performing as Lemond did in the past would be off the back of the peloton? His best recorded time up ADH was 48', which would be a complete joke today.
I think it’s likely he could have done better, but probably not so much better that he would have been among the top climbers today. The best recorded time up ADH prior to the EPO era was about 42', with typical best times thought to be in the range of 43-45'. Quintana and Rodriguez broke 40' last year (on the second pass, no less), putting them in the company of known dopers like Pantani, Riis, LA, Ulle, and (not proven, but come on) Indurain. Despite struggling, Froome was about a minute behind, along with Porte, who actually waited for Froome, and Valverde. So those five riders climbed ADH faster, by about 1-2 minutes, than it's generally accepted that
any rider ever did pre-EPO.
Are climbs like that possible clean? It seems so, the VAM suggests about 6.0 watts/kg, and most observers think that is quite possible clean. You can actually plug in V02max values lower than Lemond's into the power equation, and depending on assumptions you make about efficiency and lactate threshold, you can get watts/kg values this high.
But then why could riders pre-EPO never climb that fast? Are the bikes today that much better? Is the training better? Never had tailwinds in the 80s? I don't know, but it seems that if there is a rider today with Lemond’s talent, he is either a) doping, and performing even better than Lemond did, or b) not doping, and not doing well enough to stand out. In either case, I don’t see how we’re going to recognize him.