Re: Re:
Valv.Piti said:
Gigs_98 said:
Valv.Piti said:
But, but, but... I thought it was meant to be a sprinters race now?
Hahaha, this exactly
Actually quite sad that so many people who should know something about the sport suddenly wrote previews for this race declaring Michael Matthews the pre race favorite because this was now supposed to be another Milano Sanremo. Remember the outcry by some why every race has to be turned into a sprinters classic? :lol:
People who thought guys like GVA, Sagan and Matthews could win this race absolutely know nothing about cycling tbh. Well, ill modify that, a super peak shape Matthews would have very, very little chances and would have to depend either the favorites being shite or playing waiting games. Wont happen.
At the top of the Roche aux Faucons Matthews and van Avermaet were just behind Nibali/Schacmann group and probably would have been able to regroup and sprint for the third without the crash.
For the recent years 80 kgs Sagan is too hard but the 2010-2015 version would have been easily there too.
This year they were lucky with bad weather and a rider clearly stronger that destroyed the competition on the last climb and made effective the new route for a solo win but a solo win could have happened also on the old route so i still think a 15/20, or even more, riders sprint is very likely on this route, we have seen that no one try until last climb, the hard race from Redoute or even from Rosier like i've read some days ago is only a wet dream.
And like we've seen with the return of the Muur in Ronde or the new finale in Amstel the change tend to loose the effectiveness through the years because there isn't anymore the surprise effect of a new route, Ronde and Amstel was still good races this year but were already very different from 2017 when with the new routes Quick-Step launced the decisive move from the Muur in Ronde and the selected group in Amstel formed with 50+ kms to go.
I've read people that want to cut Roche or even Redoute but why? To make it a Wallon Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne? The thing that really make a race is the willingness to attack of riders, if they don't want to attack there will always be a borefest like we see on the mountains of the Tour whereas if they want to attack even a couple of little hills like the old Paris-Tours could be enough. Sometimes we could have "external" factors that force selection against riders will like crashes, wind or even mechanicals but are a little minority of situations.
I think that there is also a general consensus about a race in the peloton that is difficult to change, for example the general consensus is that the Giro is a more suited for attacks than the Tour and so the riders already start with a different mindset and usually make a more offensive race. In recent years probably only for Sanremo we've seen a change of general consensus after 2017 and 2018 moves and then this years they rode the Poggio very hard making a big selection behind the first group.