- Mar 13, 2009
Galic Ho said:I went with the more rounded riders (who can accelerate in the hills and ITT in the top 10) because Andy Schleck has improved his chrono, but not by enough of a margin to realistically beat AC. He dropped 3 plus minutes in 2008 and only 2 in 2009. Valverde and Menchov will not drop 2 minutes to AC in a ITT. Nor will Evans.
Then again there is very little ITT in this year's Tour, so that definitely plays to AS's advantages over Evans for example. I also think that AC, AS and FS could be able to drop Valv and Menchov in the haute montagne.
So due to the specific course of this year I do think AS will be able to take second again, if there was another ITT stage probably not. And who knows, anything can happen in 3 weeks, even to AC, and especially on the cobblestones, so AS still has a chance to win. But of course I don't wish AC to get an injury or lose a lot of time due to mechanical problems, and if none of that happens he'll win!