For some reason I like the Rams over the Bills too. I think there may be a little too much hype around the Bills, the whole Von Miller angle, and I think the Rams experience will help. But if history repeats (not including the Brady lead Patriots), teams that win the SB tend to start well, but fade over the next season.
Division winners for me:
Most likely WC contenders: Chiefs, Ravens, Chargers, Colts in AFC, and Cowboys, Saints, Cardinals, 49ers in NFC.
If I had to pick a SB I'd say Bills over the Buccaneers. But the Bengals have a lot of young fire, their own star QB, and added re-enforcements where they needed it most. Chargers and Ravens look potentially dangerous. I see them losing some games, but capable of beating anyone. Raiders are honestly similar. I really think the Ravens are going to do very well. But that's a tough division. I think GB will be 11-5, and their defense could really shine. Really curious how they look late in the season, playoffs. May knock some teams off. I don't see the Rams getting deep into the playoffs, if they win their division. They barely won the SB last year, and likely regress a little in personnel. Plus it's so hard to repeat, but they have great players at key positions.
Teams that could surprise include: Dolphins, Broncos (easy start to season), Steelers, Lions (deeper and more balanced than you think), Vikings (new coach). Carolina sucked last year, but maybe Mayfield can give them some mojo and a decent season.
For some reason I don't have much faith in 49ers. They have one of the best defenses in the league, but so much pressure, so many expectations for Lance. They seem in a position not too different than the Browns. At least that's my thought. But if the Browns are 5-6 partway through the season, they have Watson to (hopefully!) lean on. Will a struggling 49er team turn to Garrapolo?