If the Russians get a medal out of their men, I'll be really impressed. They've already EXCEEDED expectations by getting 5 medals in xc (equalling the Sochi total, to put it in perspective) with skiers that were not in the Olympics in 2014, including many who were 17-19 years old 4 years ago. I shudder to think how strong this team would have been with the absolute best in Korea. If Spitsov, Bolshunov, Belorukova, Nepryeava, Sedova, etc are able to ski so well and get medals, imagine what an in form Ustiugov would do, especially in these hard packed, fast conditions?!? Scary. I am not 100% sure that Klaebo and the Norwegians would have it all their own way. Belorukova, Nepryeava, Sedova all train with Kramer. There's no doubt Ustiugov, who also does, would have been in (at least) solid shape. If we had any doubts as to why Bach and the IOC didn't invite Sergey, this erases any confusion...Shame. We are robbed of better racing.
Norwegian women will be tough to beat. I don't think they had any other choice. Falla and Bjoergen are the fittest for this discipline, plus experienced and tough. If Sweden beats them...I'll be surprised. Everyone else will be fighting for the minor places. Diggins is strong, but Randall isn't. Diggins also had very good skis, which should help her get back time, which she will no doubt be trying to catch since Bjoergen will likely gap Randall (and the rest). Nepryeava also looked very strong on the uphill and looked relatively easy on the flats and downhills. Belorukova seems a bit more tired, and her skis aren't as good as Nepryeava's. Hopefully the servicemen give her a better pair for the final. She'll need them. The Finns not convincing. Parmakoski, solid as a rock, as she usually is, but not tip top and Laukkanen isn't in form. She looked very tired on the last lap. The Swiss could surprise. Van Der Graff knows how to ski the flats and can finish. Should be an interesting final, but right now it's the the Norwegians as clear favorites and then Sweden, US, Russia, Switzerland, Finland, Slovenia....Fessel looked dead. She's battled an illness and Ringwald has had to do most of the work, plus one of their changeovers/tags was horrible, almost lost it all on that exchange.