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python said:sharing this mix of news and impressions i just read through after yesterdays prologue
- it appears that the canadian success yesterday was due to several things, but mostly due to perfect pacing according to Harvey.
- northug said he is not certain to compete in all remaining tds races, likely will drop out before the last mountain tt where he never shined anyway
-sundby said 'justyna has a set of balls'
-turns out there was plenty of stored snow in oberhof but it was intended for ibu biatlons, not the fisa tds.
-the perpetual war between the swedes and norges is now over according to northug and this clip he sang in I actually liked it.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Quz_Yab062U
At ff:
edit, the eurosport commentator just said that harvey indeed broke his ski. but i find it hard to believe...neither, allex himself said anything about it in his extensive comments to fasterskier.com. There were at least 2 poles replaced - none by the canadians, one by a belarus and another by a norwegian.
jsem94 said:I laughed at that video. Horrendous song. The war will never end though. It's a persistent rivalry.
python said:well, well, well
the swedes won at least 2 battles just seconds ago
i cant say i am unhappy, but winning the war
i dont know.
Bavarianrider said:Does anyone know what tomorrows track looks like? More flatish easy type of sprint or rather difficult?
what process ? she herself is not at the tour and can babble freely as it has no impact on her, but she knows too well that the athletes were NOT consulted. she even said:“Athletes must engage in the process, not just complain about it!”
. the facts are on justyna's side - a heavily skewed towards skating programme was decided upon and NO athlete, including the athlete rep, was part of the decision....the stakeholders involved (organizers, tv, fis) made the best decision they could
Cance > TheRest said:Impressed by Norttug to reach the final, even if he faded then. Is he finally starting to reach any kind of decent form?
Still sees Bjørgen as favourite for overall win in womens race.
python said:a couple of late thoughts on the late developments...
1. at torebear:
did you ever come across sundby's physio, like his weight and height ? it may eventually matter...i dont seem to find any. i am now convinced he's the main contender for the overall besides legkov. he'll stand his ground in the 2 remaining classic legs (his favourite) all right, but i am not sure if he can climb cermis well. the 2 times he did (2009 and 2010) he was not impressive. looking at pictures, he should be 180-182 cm and about 75-80 kg. not as big as northug but roughly the size of legkov.
2. i am irritated by randall, the athlete's rep at fis, by her political, hore-like rhetoric towards justyna's decision to withdraw. she clearly protects the authorities in stead of the athletes she supposed to.
granted, the changes to the tds programme (another skating sprint instead of a classic pursuit) were due to weather. but she talks bs here:
what process ? she herself is not at the tour and can babble freely as it has no impact on her, but she knows too well that the athletes were NOT consulted. she even said:
. the facts are on justyna's side - a heavily skewed towards skating programme was decided upon and NO athlete, including the athlete rep, was part of the decision.
i respect kikkan but when she acts likes a political hore i start recalling some of her strange blood values never acted upon.![]()
this is generally correct.ToreBear said:But I don't believe the power to weight ratio is that important in xc as in
python said:this is generally correct.
but if you recall, about a year ago i went through the trouble of researching the fastest skiers weight up mn cermis, and generally (i estimate a correlation at about 70%) the lightest fellas were the fastest. this should hardly be a surprise when slopes are 15-20% and the resistance is predominately weight. plus the skate 1 technique at such slopes is more dependent of upper body power...
anyway, i am watching the man's qualifier tt, sundby again is magnificent, currently 4th fastest, with only 2 more norges in top 30, they have about 10 more starters left.
Bavarianrider said:Alpe Cermis is a gimmick anyway. There's actually an extra sport for going up ski slopes with skies. No need to do it in cross country skiing. Doing 1 final climb of 10km with 8% or something would be much cooler and more fitting.
Nice Wenzl in the semis again![]()
jsem94 said:LOL. Sundby 3rd again.
Marit feeling slightly ill and not performing at 100% has made Johaug into the Tour favorite for me. Marit needs at least 90 seconds before the final climb to have a fighting chance.
ToreBear said:Wow, Sundby is both impressive and really lucky. Two times through on Lucky Loser and then ends up number 3!. These sprints are really quite entertaining with most of the top sprinters out.
I remember the post, it was very interesting. I didn't remember that you calculated the correlation, that is very interesting. But I think you only based your calculations on one year. I listed some other years that I think would weaken the correlation quite significantly.
The correlation was strong last year but was it the year before as well? That would give us a few more data points.
Also remember there is a long stretch that has to be skied before the start of the hill. One could ski this part real fast, and then take it easier uphill, or vice versa.
So there would be even more variables.
There is? What sport?
10 km at 8% would be interesting too. I want it all.
Yep he was good. In fact the Germans seem to have some talent on the way up, especially for the girls.
Obviously Hermann, but the others don't seem to be that far behind either.
![]()
![]()
Mountaineering or whatever it is called in English
Well compared to the situation of 2000-2007 the state of german xc skiing is really sad. But i fear we'd have to discuss this one in a different sector of this forum.
jsem94 said:I want to see the Tour with different types of stages instead. The Cortina-Toblach stage and Alpe Cermis are the only two that are actually special to me.
Maybe something like:
-One or two very flat long stages, simulating long-distance races, but making them 20-25km long. Preferably classic style. Mass start. (Such that doing only double poling might be a winning strategy).
-Climb ITT. Something less steep. 4-5km @ 6-7%.
Or more Cortina-Toblach stages. That is one my favorite moments of the winter. Every time. Such amazing scenery.
python said:this was not a particularly exciting sprint, but few things seem worth the note...
- a chinese suddenly bursting into the top 4 qualifiers being the last starter ! what the heck was thatnot that he is a complete unknown, he's been in top wc 30 before, surely, once the heats started he was gone as it was supposed to happen.
- sundby continues to amaze me with a second final in a row both times outbidding northug. at one point in a semifinal after he passed almost everyone in a free glide, i thought THAT was his secret, but he seemed to also play well tactically with some good positioning for a final burst at the finish. he lucky loser spot was well deserved. it all looks good but in a multi-stage race it may cost him the valuable recovery time. legkov was stretched back in a hotel while martin kept busting his **** for 2 more supra max efforts...anyway, he is now almost half-a-minute ahead of legkov and, iirc, he said yesterday he'll feel comfortable with 45 seconds lead before the cermis climb.
hamilton really surprised me today with both the straight out fastest time and the final win. good skis for sure, he normally generously comments post races, so we'll found out.
Bavarianrider said:Hopefully the men will tackle the 15km mass start really hard now. I mean there should be plenty of guys who aren't interested in tactical games and simply have to try to gain back some time.
happy new year too !ToreBear said:Good questions and answers Python! I remember from the relay, that Sundby was good, but Røthe really skied good. While Martin seemed to be working more, Røthe looked like he was dancing.
Anyway some bad news. Marits optimism was not realistic. Apparently she has a tummy virus. When she came back to the hotel, she developed a fever and had signs of "omgangs syke". I don't know the English or Swedish(Krak sjuka?) term. So she is out of the race.
She and TDS seem destined not to be this year either. Lucky Justyna chickened out, that means Johaug is the favorite.![]()
But others could also compete, since anything can happen. I have high hopes for Weng, but, I would have expected more from her in the sprints. She had bad luck with her starting position on the first sprint, and on the second sprint, she looked like she was empty in the semi. She still has a way to go form wise, but if she comes into top form, she has the potential to match Johaug in Alpe de Cermis in my opinion. Or rather, only need a 15-30 second head start.
But she is still young so time is on her side.
Ps. Happy new year!