sniper said:
To add to the speculation: could Spain's drop in performances be due to them trying to race clean? After all, any Spanish positive would damage Madrid's 2020 bid.
The question would then be: can cleanliness be imposed from above? Iow: could there have been some states person or body begging all Spanish athletes and/or federations to take it down a notch this year and be extra careful?
If this happened, it could reversely mean that Spain has been under some state sponsored doping regime.
Spain has indeed been under some state sponsored regime, from the late 80s to at least Barcelona 92. Catching up to other countries, probably. Anyway, I wouldn't read too much into the abysmal performances of Spain so far, simply because Spain's results have always been very average after 1992 (and horrible before 1992). We've had terrible results in track & field for years now, both at European and World championships, and we rely on rare swimming talent to pop up almost out of nowhere because there's no proper program in place to develop that talent, and that's where many of the medals are won. Lack of funding can have an immense impact on less professionalized sports, which are mostly the ones that give out their medals first. We still get the odd good judoka here and there, but that's a sport with a stronger tradition in Spain compared to other minor ones. Spain's strengths are team sports (basketball, handball, hockey and waterpolo, mostly), sailing, judo, cycling, tennis, some athletics endurance competitions, and not much else.
At any rate, Madrid 2020 can hardly be the reason for any lack of doping. Madrid has been a bidder for the games for like a decade now (they were in the race to host the very games we're watching now, and they lost to Rio for the 2016 Games). I suppose theoretically it's possible that they got a warning, "no more scandals or you're definitely out", but I doubt it.
slowspoke said:
In answer to you both, in swimming you ARE competing at the top level from 14-15 in both male and female. I was on the european circuit from then and I was not THAT good.
Yes, but why are they competing at the top level from 14-15 instead of taking it easy like in most other sports?
In football you can start competing even before 14-15, but it doesn't really get serious until you're around 16 and in a big club. But swimmers live the full pro life by the time they're 15, unless they've already been weeded out. Why? Why do they start competing at the top level so early? It has to be because teenagers get some physiological advantage; otherwise it would be silly to have them burn out before they reach their physical peak.