the pope said:
tomorrow said:
Well, I am not sure, if I remember it correctly, but when they showed the gap to van Baarle, it was like 45s. That could have been 3km after kwaaremont. Sagan group had already dropped van baarle before they crashed, it could have been like 3-5s. It was still quite far to the top of quaremont, they still could have made. They would make it 10 - 15s to the top of quaremont, which would result like 25-30s to Gilbert. Van baarle did not certainly cut the time to Gilbert on the way to Paterberg, yet trentin, as gva was not pulling yet, alone took 15s down. I guess that Sagan, GVA and Naesen would take the 30s, or there wouldn't be much left from it. If not before, they would certainly catch him on Paterberg.
I'm afraid you are being extremely creative with the numbers here.
Go on youtube, there are many videos of people on the Kwaremont right where the crash happened. You can see Gilbert passing and count the actual time difference. It is 55 seconds at the moment of the crash.
Moreover, the crash is near the end of the Kwaremont, after the steepest inclines.
Gilbert was at the moment of the crash about 2.5 km from the Paterberg (which by itself is only 350 meters). Somehow you are suggesting that in that stretch, they would have closed those 55 seconds, which is by far the most farfetched 'what if'-statement I heard so far about this situation.
Yeah, you're right, I am a little bit into math. And I mentioned I am not sure about all the facts.
However, I wanted to timed it, but unfortunately they didn't show when van baarle or gva get to top of kwaaremont, only that gilbert is on top about 27s after the crash. What I was wrong, that the first time they've shown the difference to van baarle was on paterberg. So this assumption is incorrect. The second thing is I didn't realize Patterberg is so close after Kwaaremont, I thought it was more like 4-5kms.
On the other hand, what I can measure though is sagans time after he sat on the bike eventually softpedalled to the top(90s), and given the circumstance, we can aggree he was waaaaay slower he would have been. There's no way the gap was 55' at the time of crash. Don't you think he might have been more then 20s slower to his monster self? That would be probably under 40s gap.