loge1884 said:
there are quite few contenders for RvV and Peter is definitely one of them ...
whether he has "the legs", only Peter himself will know ... however GW was a prove of his increased smartness and (finally) a good team display (which will perhaps be more important in P-R) ... Marcus Burghardt on his side is a great value, he seemed to have calmed down and focussed Peter a few km before the finish line (in GW)
Yeah, the Belgians are frightening with Sep, Greg, Phil, Naesen, Tiesj and honestly even WVA who I won't rule out. Then you have the two Steppers Stybar and Terpstra as well, especially the latter could easily slip away and solo. And then there's Kwiatkowski who is a legit winner as well despite him not really focusing on these races anymore.
Well, its very difficult to say if bad weather will have good or bad impact on sagan. In the past, he had both exceptional poerformances in bad weather an sometimes it is quite he opposite, like in the e3. By the way the increased toughness might also cause the race to be ridden conservatively, which would suit him, because he wouldn't have to start chasing soon. Ideal scenario for him is, when the action starts on last kwaaremont or a little bit sooner.
Very important will also by the work of burghardt and oss. They can't allow breaks on kapelmuur. Or if so, one of them has to be in that break and also able to react to gilbert-like attacks. If they cover quicksteppers on kapelmuur, then the power of quickstep declines, because with more helingens, lampaert and other lesser riders will not be able to stay with terpstra, stybar ..., which would decrease the number of quickstep riders inethe pottential break.
Sagan will really have to earn this race.