Question Pogacar vs Evenepoel - 200 KM FLAT ITT On Road Bikes

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Pogacar vs Evenepoel on a 200 KM Flat ITT Raced on Road Bikes: Who wins?


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Definitely Remco.
0.5s/km in both. It's a decent gap – nothing special, but 2024 was the greatest form Pogacar (anyone?) has ever been and he'd trained a lot on the TT bike, probably more than Evenepoel given that Remco had other issues he was trying to fix.
Source? We have no idea how much time either of them spent on the TT bike. We just have anecdotal evidence that Pogacar did more last year because of the 2023 TdF TT. But Remco was also preparing for the Olympics, so I doubt he neglected his TT bike.
 
Remco's huge advantage over Pogacar is his flexibility in the TT position and his aerodynamic advantage as a whole.
On a road bike those advantages are greatly reduced. After a certain time and for a longer 4-5 hours effort (like a 200 KM Flat TT) Pogacar's bigger aerobic engine will prevail.
If anything Remco seems to be more aerobic and Pog relies on his anaerobic ability, because what keeps happening is that Pog does an attack which opens a gap and then settles into the same pace as Remco who is chasing behind.

I really don't buy that Pog intentionally maintains a certain margin of victory because I think he'd crush Remco by more if he could, to deal a mental blow (see lombardia 24).
 
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