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Prediction Game

Page 9 - Get up to date with the latest news, scores & standings from the Cycling News Community.
Awesome, so everyone has given me their picks for the overall classifications (except skidmark who said he would have difficulty sending his picks this week). This is the format we will be using for all Grand Tours, as well as the 3 small stage races. Keep sending in your picks for stage 2, if you haven't already done so.

Good luck to all!
 
Mar 13, 2009
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Before the KOM competition starts, I'd like to point out El Imbatido's choice of J.Rodriguez. I believe there are 2 JRods - Jackson & Joaquin and both of them can climb well...just a thought. :)

Congrats to the TTT podium - Columbia, Garmin, Astana!
 
I'll second that pick. The stage is tailor made for him, and having that jersey on his back will give him a tiny boost as well.

It may be too late, but I think GC will be Basso, Levi and Menchov. Soler for Maglia Verde, and the Ciclimino either Cav or Petacchi, if they can survive Stage 16 mostly. Other than that, they should be able to keep up with the autobus. Young rider will be Lovkvist.

The real guessing stars on Stages 4 & 5.
 
Mar 10, 2009
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Well, we can safely say that Cavendish was the hot favourite for this stage, and Petacchi for 2nd. Unfortunately, for pretty much all of us, they finished the other way around.
But no real surprises, as a lot picked correct names, whether or not in the correct place...

Right now I'd say titan_90 is the top scorer of this stage, with Petacchi, Cavendish and Davis in the correct spot.
 
Standings have been updated!

Not much change on the leader board, although it seems that the top three have begun pulling away from the pack (especially with Titan_90 amassing a huge 28 points on the day). As far as the rest of the field is concerned, the scores are beginning to tighten up - with a vast majority of the contestants scoring between 48 and 65.

Congrats to everyone today, and please remember to send your picks for Stage 5 soon!

Cheers,

Merckx.
 
On reflection - I wonder if the '3 additional points for a rider in the right order' rule makes sense. It seems a bit of a lottery - especially for the minor placings - you could identify 2 of the top 5 but if you put the 2 riders you pick in the right places you could get the same points as if someone had correctly identified 4 out of 5 but in the wrong order :rolleyes:

Anywy a number of us have benefited from the rule - and certainly we should not change it now.
 
Just wondering...How strict have you been with the 24 hour rule? For the stage 5 prediction it's a huge diffrence if you do predictions before knowing the results of stage 4 or not. I'm guessing you are strict at holding to the deadline so I'm sure there is no problem but I think this is a stage where it may be extra important.
 
ingsve said:
Just wondering...How strict have you been with the 24 hour rule? For the stage 5 prediction it's a huge diffrence if you do predictions before knowing the results of stage 4 or not. I'm guessing you are strict at holding to the deadline so I'm sure there is no problem but I think this is a stage where it may be extra important.

It's obviously not up to me, but I think we should change it to a 12 hour rule. You could at least watch the previous days stage, which is important, especially if people crash out or something. 12 hours should still be plenty of time to put everything together.
 
There is indeed a bit of wiggle room. I made it 24 hours so that I could update the prediction thread before the stage/event actually starts. I live in North America and don't particularly feel like waking up at 3:00 AM to tabulate everyone's picks...

You guys have been good though, and most of you send the picks on time.
 
May 12, 2009
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In order to new york escort prevent someone building a lead and maintaining it by simply picking the same as the person in new york escorts 2nd place, the choices will be sent to me on the day of the race (maximum 1hour before new york asian escort race start time) via private message in the forums. I'll post everyone's predictions in new york asian escorts a "Race Day Thread" or something of the sort once the race goes live (thread which can be used to discuss a current race, as it unfolds - for those who aren't at work, or have time to spare).
 
dodosan said:
In order to new york escort prevent someone building a lead and maintaining it by simply picking the same as the person in new york escorts 2nd place, the choices will be sent to me on the day of the race (maximum 1hour before new york asian escort race start time) via private message in the forums. I'll post everyone's predictions in new york asian escorts a "Race Day Thread" or something of the sort once the race goes live (thread which can be used to discuss a current race, as it unfolds - for those who aren't at work, or have time to spare).

:confused::confused::confused:
 
Mar 13, 2009
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Merckx said:
There is indeed a bit of wiggle room. I made it 24 hours so that I could update the prediction thread before the stage/event actually starts. I live in North America and don't particularly feel like waking up at 3:00 AM to tabulate everyone's picks...

You guys have been good though, and most of you send the picks on time.

I send them now, that 24-hour limit is in the middle of my working day so it's not really easy.
 
Haha, true that RDV.

Here are tomorrow's picks:

Merckx: ( Leipheimer, Basso, Soler, Cunego, Lokvist )
K. Robbins: ( Soler, Cunego, Leipheimer, Basso, Di Luca )
Lookkg386: ( Pellizotti, Cunego, Leipheimer, Armstrong, Menchov )
Bartoli: ( Di Luca, Basso, Simoni, Garzelli, Soler )
180mmcrank: ( Basso, Leipheimer, Soler, Di Luca, Menchov )
ak-zaaf: ( Basso, cunego, soler, pellizotti, di luca )
wheels55: (Soler, Simoni, Leipheimer, Basso, DiLuca )
Jaylew: ( Soler, Menchov, Basso, Leipheimer, Sastre )
peloton: ( Garzelli, Basso, Cunego, Leipheimer, Simoni )
R. Forster: ( Basso, Leipheimer, Menchov, Cunego, Sastre )
aarnold517: ( Basso, Leipheimer, Simoni, Cunego, Soler )
flahute: ( Pellizotti, Garzelli, Scarponi, Leipheimer, Kassiakoff )
Ingsve: ( Cunego, Di Luca, Armstrong, Basso, Visconti)
El Imbatido: ( Simoni, Joaquin Rodriguez, Di luca, Basso, Leipheimer )
Bluebeard: ( Valjavec, Cunego, Deignan, Basso, Simoni )
Kazistuta: ( Pellizotti, Joaquin Rodriguez, Basso, Menchov, Leipheimer )
titan_90: ( Basso, Leipheimer, Di Luca, Cunego, Menchov )
marshan: ( Armstrong, Basso, Leipheimer, Pellizoti, Simoni )
Cosette: ( Cunego, Arroyo, Menchov, Basso, Leipheimer)
BrandonT: ( Basso, Leipheimer, Di Luca, Sastre, Lövkvist )
Indurain: ( Soler, Basso, Cunego, Leipheimer, Simoni )
Martin: ( Sastre, Leipheimer, Basso, Menchov, Cunego )
 
After a quick scan looks like quite a few got 3 right with 1 in the right position so 12 points all up. But titan and 179mm crank and possibly merckx got 4 right. but none in right position (i think) so same score as others. No one got Menchov tho.
 
Mar 10, 2009
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Apparently it hadn't occured to anyone that Menchov could take the stage, as El Imbatido mentioned already.
Looks like everyone scored some points. And no big scores today, it would seem...

Can't find any real big favourites among the teams either. Though I'm tempted to say that Cunego was the biggest disappointment, featuring on a lot of teams and actually losing over 2 minutes....
 
Cosette said:
Apparently it hadn't occured to anyone that Menchov could take the stage, as El Imbatido mentioned already.
Looks like everyone scored some points. And no big scores today, it would seem...

Damn! At the last minute, I switched Soler from 6th to 1st, figuring he might attack early and go for Mtn points (and some of that 2:50 he lost the other day). Before that, I had Menchov winning the stage :mad: