Frosty said:
The way i see Rabobank is that they have got a lot of good/very good riders but no riders who have been able to push on to get to the top step. Although the Netherlands is a big cycling nation it is only one country among many and cant be expected to be dominant in the sport so maybe some people's expectations are a bit high? Going off-topic, maybe its like in the UK where Tim Henman was ranked fourth in the world at tennis but was still labelled as sh*t by a lot of people. Considering the number of countries that play tennis fourth isnt that bad but then top-level sport is about winning i suppose.
No one's expectations are too high. Most of the cyclists that are ''hyped'' or talked about most have a great palmares in their espoir years to warrant being mentioned. That is the only indication one can have that a certain cyclist can have a big future in cycling. I'm not saying that some people don't abuse that privilege - what's known as over-hyping - but it's not like it is plucked out of thin air either. Aside from that I think most people can be guilty of a bit of chauvinism/patriotism, that's quite normal. Finally, I don't know how ''big'' of a cycling nation the Netherlands really is. It is true that they have produced many talents of late, but other than the tour and the AGR I don't think many people here care as much as say in Belgium. Speed skating is much more popular here, as is football, both of which the Netherlands are considered to be big in worldwide.
Frosty said:
Personally, i think Gesink has shown some glimpses of real potential and should be one of the top riders in GCs for years to come but i cant see him outperforming Contador and Andy Schleck. Possibly others too but i think the course would depend on his ability against people like Wiggins, Basso, plus they are older so he wont be competing against them the rest of his career. Conty and Schleck could have bans/accidents/illness but without that then i dont think he would win a tour unless he raises his performances.
I agree, for now, about Gesink not being able to outperform Contador and Schleck in the mountains. The others you speak of I cannot make out but I always thought that third spot was wide open for many riders. However, like you said, it all depends on the parcours, if it is mountainous and has little tting than Gesink would have to be among the favorites for third in my opinion. Climbing-wise I think Gesink is better than both Basso and Wiggins. Don't take my word for it though, watch the Vuelta of 09. Other than that though you are right, but I haven't heard anyone on here state that Gesink would win the tour if everyone is fit. Thus I don't know where this is coming from.
Frosty said:
Mollema and Kruiswijk look promising for GC top 10s and possibly top 5s (Mollema already has a fourth in a Vuelta but that field has been considered to be of lower than normal standard) and maybe Rabobank could be winners of the team awards, especially once the old-timers from RadioSchleck move on. We'll have to see how Kelderman progresses in the big-time races but looks good.
If Mollema's achievement in the Vuelta can be belittled due to a weak field than many people on here claiming that Froome is the next big thing have another thing coming. I don't necessarily disagree with you but then some people need to pipe down a bit about Froome and how he is already so much better than Gesink because of his Vuelta performance. Aside from that, many people tend to forget that Mollema had the tour in his legs before doing the Vuelta. Thus, the Vuelta wasn't even really his target. He might have been past his peak moment or at the end of it during the Vuelta.
As for Kruijswijk, last year was his first time as the leader in a GT. He did extremely well, above and beyond anyone's expectations. Thus you can understand that many people got excited about him. So it wasn't until last year that people really began having higher expectations of him which is logical, but no one is saying he'll win a GT soon, especially not the tour.
Frosty said:
So can see them doing well in the future but just dont think any of them will be making the step up to overall winner of the Tour/Monument. Maybe they could win a Giro or Vuelta but then i think that for Rabobank the Tour is a lot bigger than those two races. Also, the best rider doesnt always win the race so i imagine they will probably snaffle something big at some point.
I agree about the tour, for now. However, this is not only true for Rabobank. We ought to remember though that most of these guys you mentioned are still relatively young. People expect so much from them because they did so well at a young age but tend to forget that they are still growing each year. Wiggins is 31, we'll see when each of these riders you mentioned are 31 and see who has the better palmares.