Red Ace said:
Britain plans to ride all day for Cavendish, (and that includes Wiggins!!). Clearly Sky investment to get Cav will make even more sense if he is wearing the World Champs Jersey.
I am surprised that people think that Mark Renshaw will not be able in sit in a bunch all day on a flat course behind the Sky team getting ready for a bunch sprint.
Surely the best tactical rider in a bunch sprint in the pro peloton wasn’t dropped due to the distance!!!
The course is not flat, it has over 1700m of climbing. That is usually enough to make sprinters complain on a 180km GT stage, this is a 260km WCRR.
Team GB will not be in the top5 strongest in the race, they will also want to make it as easy as possible. The Dutch and Belgian teams will want to make it as hard as possible, Spain too. Italy and Australia will want things somewhere in the middle.
All these teams are stronger than GB, USA and Germany, who want an easy sprint finish.
Whoever is running last man for a sprinter, needs to be strong enough to hold early goers like Gilbert within a reasonable distance, as the genuine sprinters will need to hold their effort until the very end. The leadout will be much more about strength than it is positioning.
As Sydney mentioned Sutton was able to hold his nerve on a similar finish in his Vuelta win so he fits in this role too. If Renshaw was there he would be better used as the 2nd last man, guiding them around the corner and then letting the strong one drag the sprinter up the straight. If Gerrans has saved his legs he would be suitable for that, but on the form of others he may be sprinting himself.
Australia is no chance unless Goss or Haussler make a miraculous turnaround in form. If Evans was still around they may as well have given him outright leadership. If Renshaw was competitive and got a good result in Hamburg or Plouay then there would have been compelling reasons not just to have him in the team, but to have him leading. None of them deserve to be picked on form, so you have to look at their record. Therefore I don't see it as absurd that they are picking this year's M-SR winner, someone who has actually won a one dayer this year, and someone who was fiercely competitive in the three flat monuments 2 seasons ago - over someone who has had very limited success in these types of races.