One last observation from today: I believe that was Pog at 93% or so.
If there is one race Pogacar was aiming for before the Tour it was this one.
Meanwhile, is it me or is there now a very big trend of monuments being dominated by riders that didn't race super heavily or even underwhelm in some races before?
RVV '23 Pogacar last raced 9 days before
MSR '23 MvdP wasn't flying in Tirreno a week prior
Lombardia '22 Pogacar got beaten in Emilia a week before
Liege '22 Evenepoel didn't contest Fleche
Roubaix '22 Van Baarle was 2 minutes down in Amstel
Ronde '22 MvdP won DDV but didn't race GW or E3
MSR '22 Mohoric DNF in Strade Bianche 2 weeks before and didn't race Tirreno or PN
Lombardia '21 Pogacar got spanked all over Italy in the weeks before Lombardia
Roubaix '21 Colbrelli only got 10th at the WCRR the week prior
Liege '21 Pogacar didn't get to race Fleche, and was beaten in Itzulia
RVV '21 Asgreen won E3 9 days before but took a chill day in DDV mid week
MSR '21 Stuyven winning MSR is his first top 10 that season
For lulz.
WCRR '22 Evenepoel surprisingly got beaten in Worlds ITT in midweek
WCRR '21 Alaphilippe was getting soundly beaten by Van Aert in GB
Olympics '21 Carapaz wins Olympics despite Pog stomping all over him all Tour
Then basically all Jumbo riders, especially Roglic and Van Aert have a pretty strong inverse pattern of this.