Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

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Valv.Piti

Valv.Piti

Aug 3, 2015
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Stage 12 will be realtively uncomplicated I think. Well, depends if Visma goes really hard on Soulor and begin attacking again, but I doubt it. All he needs is one or two strong climbers to set a hard tempo the first half of Hautacam so he can drop Jonas for good, and then you have the MTT to gain further time. He should be the strongest there. Today he was a bit hampered by his team not being able to be there and put pressure the first km of the last climb plus responding to a few digs from Jorg, and also the headwind, so it was hard to make a difference.

What he needs to achieve is just to gain a comfortable margin on Jorg so they dont have to respond on those two Pyrenean stages and gain a bit more on Jonas. I'd be very happy with between 2-2,30 min on Jonas and 5 minutes on Jorg
 
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Kedjan

Kedjan

Jul 5, 2025
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If Pog rides conservatively and just stays on Vinge's wheel, he will win this Tour barring a crash. Vinge will never be able to drop a Pog who just follows Vinge.

But we know Pog won't ride conservatively — he'll want to dominate Vinge in the high mountains. The only small hope I see for Vinge to win this Tour is if Pog fails to drop him, gets frustrated, and keeps attacking, wearing himself out in the process. Is this likely to happen? Not so much, but with Almeida gone and A Yates a bit weak, he might have a harder time to distance Vinge which could frustrate him. And overconfidence is an issue with Pog.
 
Peyroteo94

Peyroteo94

Mar 20, 2022
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Valv.Piti said:
Stage 12 will be realtively uncomplicated I think. Well, depends if Visma goes really hard on Soulor and begin attacking again, but I doubt it. All he needs is one or two strong climbers to set a hard tempo the first half of Hautacam so he can drop Jonas for good, and then you have the MTT to gain further time. He should be the strongest there. Today he was a bit hampered by his team not being able to be there and put pressure the first km of the last climb plus responding to a few digs from Jorg, and also the headwind, so it was hard to make a difference.

What he needs to achieve is just to gain a comfortable margin on Jorg so they dont have to respond on those two Pyrenean stages and gain a bit more on Jonas. I'd be very happy with between 2-2,30 min on Jonas and 5 minutes on Jorg
Click to expand...
Where are those good climbers? It is clear Simon Yates, Matteo are better climbers right now and Adam can't even bother them, let alone Vingegaard.
 
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fenns

fenns

May 16, 2015
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This really has the feel of the early stages of Tour '24 and the Dauphine. Punchy Jonas matching Pogi - Remco winning the TTs. To reverse those final GC standings Jonas is going to need a time machine to take Pogi back 2 years and swap him out for the '23 version.
 
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Cycling111

Apr 13, 2025
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fenns said:
This really has the feel of the early stages of Tour '24 and the Dauphine. Punchy Jonas matching Pogi - Remco winning the TTs. To reverse those final GC standings Jonas is going to need a time machine to take Pogi back 2 years and swap him out for the '23 version.
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I've always thought that the poor condition of Pogacar's performance at the Tour has been underestimated. His accident may not have been that serious, but Pogacar has explained that he didn't prepare well and that he wasn't in good psychologically. He also said that some members of the team let him down.
He had several problems after Liège.

Even so, he was superior to Vingegaard in three stages, until he collapsed in the final week.

I have doubts that a well-prepared Pogacar wouldn't have been able to win that Tour.

The 2022 was too conditioned by the Granon and a supersonic Van Aert.
 
Lorzenz08

Lorzenz08

Sep 14, 2019
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Cycling111 said:
I've always thought that the poor condition of Pogacar's performance at the Tour has been underestimated. His accident may not have been that serious, but Pogacar has explained that he didn't prepare well and that he wasn't in good psychologically. He also said that some members of the team let him down.
He had several problems after Liège.

Even so, he was superior to Vingegaard in three stages, until he collapsed in the final week.

I have doubts that a well-prepared Pogacar wouldn't have been able to win that Tour.

The 2022 was too conditioned by the Granon and a supersonic Van Aert.
Click to expand...

The thing is about 2022, in all subsequent stages after Grannon, Pogi never dropped Vingegaard in any mountain.
 
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Cycling111

Apr 13, 2025
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Lorzenz08 said:
The thing is about 2022, in all subsequent stages after Grannon, Pogi never dropped Vingegaard in any mountain.
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But Vingegaard dropped Pogacar only at Hautacam. After more than a week of riding in his wheel, Pogacar crashed on the previous descent, and with a Van Aert supersonic.

Pogacar was overconfident in 2022. And his preparation for the Tour was simply routine. His training routines were laughable when you read his Instagram stories. It seemed like a peaceful training session, considering it would be like 2021 TDF.
In 2023 he was much stronger than in 2022, but as mentioned earlier.
 
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Peyroteo94

Peyroteo94

Mar 20, 2022
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Cycling111 said:
I've always thought that the poor condition of Pogacar's performance at the Tour has been underestimated. His accident may not have been that serious, but Pogacar has explained that he didn't prepare well and that he wasn't in good psychologically. He also said that some members of the team let him down.
He had several problems after Liège.

Even so, he was superior to Vingegaard in three stages, until he collapsed in the final week.

I have doubts that a well-prepared Pogacar wouldn't have been able to win that Tour.

The 2022 was too conditioned by the Granon and a supersonic Van Aert.
Click to expand...
His coach let him alone when he broke his hand. This is the main reason he changed coach.
 
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Cycling111

Apr 13, 2025
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scribers

scribers

Oct 30, 2023
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He's up a 1:17 on Vingo. He doesn't need to launch. He can win by 1:17 if he chooses to, and is able to. The problem is Vingo's. Today wasn't it for Visma if they wanted it, and if it was a real opportunity, they failed on it.

We'll know everything about the depth of form of each rider in the GC Wednesday and Thursday. If Vingo closes it to Pogi, there should be alarm bells going on. If the lead goes out, the bells will be ringing in Visma's camp.
 
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Peyroteo94

Peyroteo94

Mar 20, 2022
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scribers said:
He's up a 1:17 on Vingo. He doesn't need to launch. He can win by 1:17 if he chooses to, and is able to. The problem is Vingo's. Today wasn't it for Visma if they wanted it, and if it was a real opportunity, they failed on it.

We'll know everything about the depth of form of each rider in the GC Wednesday and Thursday. If Vingo closes it to Pogi, there should be alarm bells going on. If the lead goes out, the bells will be ringing in Visma's camp.
Click to expand...
His tactic should be:
1. Going all out for 5 km, it doesn't matter if Vingegaard follows you or not. The goal is just put 2 minutes on Matteo.
2. Follow Vingegaard everywhere.
 
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