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Teams & Riders Tadej Pogačar discussion thread

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Pog wasnot joking,when he said he is going after mercx.I know people see pog as nice humble guy and he is .but in reality pog is maniac,he doesnot give afuk.No kids,pure cycling till he is 40.Pog has similar mentality as another slovenian maniac Jure Robic,who is most insane sportsmen ihave ever saw,probably in history.They different in their head.Pog doesnot care,ih he dies on bike,he dies.
 
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After thinking a bit about stage 15 to Livigno. It was even more impressive IMO:

1) Last 13-14 minutes of Foscagno were at 6.8-6.9 w/kg - huge numbers at an average altitude of almost 2100 m. Comparable to last year's Tourmalet by Vingo and Pog. But it's not the whole story.

2) After like 3-4 minutes of descent Pog continues pushing 6.7 w/kg for 10 minutes until the finish at almost 2400 m.

This was a really big performance by him, his best at altitude and also maybe his best mountain performance besides Romme+Colombiere (it's hard to compare performances varying greatly in altitude or duration though).
It is a legendary performance on the Queen-stage of this edition. Showcasing his brilliance and domination.
 
Pog wasnot joking,when he said he is going after mercx.I know people see pog as nice humble guy and he is .but in reality pog is maniac,he doesnot give afuk.No kids,pure cycling till he is 40.Pog has similar mentality as another slovenian maniac Jure Robic,who is most insane sportsmen ihave ever saw,probably in history.They different in their head.Pog doesnot care,ih he dies on bike,he dies.
I assume you've already been told but just in case you haven't been - reading text without spaces after punctuations is unpleasant.
 
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After thinking a bit about stage 15 to Livigno. It was even more impressive IMO:

1) Last 13-14 minutes of Foscagno were at 6.8-6.9 w/kg - huge numbers at an average altitude of almost 2100 m. Comparable to last year's Tourmalet by Vingo and Pog. But it's not the whole story.

2) After like 3-4 minutes of descent Pog continues pushing 6.7 w/kg for 10 minutes until the finish at almost 2400 m.

This was a really big performance by him, his best at altitude and also maybe his best mountain performance besides Romme+Colombiere (it's hard to compare performances varying greatly in altitude or duration though).
According to some calculations 6.75 w/kg in the last 13 minutes of Foscagno(tailwind close from the top), and 5.6 w/kg during the last 7/8 min on mottolino(he faded a little here). Even so, good perfomance.
 
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According to some calculations 6.75 w/kg in the last 13 minutes of Foscagno(tailwind close from the top), and 5.6 w/kg during the last 7/8 min on mottolino(he faded a little here). Even so, good perfomance.

It seems Velonews was off with those estimations. I decided to do my own from Eurosport Player replay: about 13 minutes for the last climb, average VAM about 1660 m/h, which on a 7.6% climb corresponds to about 6 w/kg.

Not as thermonuclear as Velonews assessment. However they mentioned 10 minutes effort. Excluding the last kilometer it was about 1780 m/h of VAM for 9 minutes, so a considerably higher value, which is about 6.4 w/kg. Judging by this, last km was slower but this is assuming we believe in accurate climb profiles 100 % - in Oropa I actually found out that it's not that accurate (I was a spectator).
 
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It seems Velonews was off with those estimations. I decided to do my own from Eurosport Player replay: about 13 minutes for the last climb, average VAM about 1660 m/h, which on a 7.6% climb corresponds to about 6 w/kg.

Not as thermonuclear as Velonews assessment. However they mentioned 10 minutes effort. Excluding the last kilometer it was about 1780 m/h of VAM for 9 minutes, so a considerably higher value, which is about 6.4 w/kg. Judging by this, last km was slower but this is assuming we believe in accurate climb profiles 100 % - in Oropa I actually found out that it's not that accurate (I was a spectator).
How do you do those calculations? I noticed you are very knowledgable about this subject. Do you divide the effort by segments (lets say 0.1 km each) based on the remaining distance and then use timestamp of the broadcast recording at the change of decimal values of the remaining distance or something completely different? Do you use software/scripts to do that or do you do it manually?
 
How do you do those calculations? I noticed you are very knowledgable about this subject. Do you divide the effort by segments (lets say 0.1 km each) based on the remaining distance and then use timestamp of the broadcast recording at the change of decimal values of the remaining distance or something completely different? Do you use software/scripts to do that or do you do it manually?

Not really. I don't perform that accurate estimations, one would need a very accurate profile and time intervals. Just time stamps for a given section (sometimes I could be off by a dozen or so seconds due to another image shown at that time). When you have time for a section then you divide elevation difference (from the profile so we need to believe the profile is 100% correct) by this time (measured in hours) and you get average VAM. The rest are w/kg estimation formulas for given VAM and section average gradient. Ferrari formula is quite popular and in most cases consistent with some twitter guys doing estimations. Obviously the situation changes a bit when they go in a larger group vs a single cyclist, so additional corrections (reduced aero drag) are done when riding in a group.

BTW: doing "integration" over 100 meters intervals would be better but one needs very accurate data plus on homogenous climb sections (little gradient variations) it would make little difference. It's also worth noting that if a cyclist produces some average VAM over a given section (let's say 1800 m/h, roughly corresponding to 6.4 w/kg) then if his effort is for some reason uneven on this section then he actually does an even bigger effort (bigger so called normalized power) so in this sense averaging over bigger section is a kinda lower bound (but usually close to actual if a cyclist performs an even effort during solo ride, which is desired).
 
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Not really. I don't perform that accurate estimations, one would need a very accurate profile and time intervals. Just time stamps for a given section (sometimes I could be off by a dozen or so seconds due to another image shown at that time). When you have time for a section then you divide elevation difference (from the profile so we need to believe the profile is 100% correct) by this time (measured in hours) and you get average VAM. The rest are w/kg estimation formulas for given VAM and section average gradient. Ferrari formula is quite popular and in most cases consistent with some twitter guys doing estimations. Obviously the situation changes a bit when they go in a larger group vs a single cyclist, so additional corrections (reduced aero drag) are done when riding in a group.

BTW: doing "integration" over 100 meters intervals would be better but one needs very accurate data plus on homogenous climb sections (little gradient variations) it would make little difference.
I was thinking about doing something like that but of course, it would have to be programatically. Enter the route gps coordinates (what is usually called shape), then retrieve altitude data from an online service for each route datapoint. The rest is entering timestamp and remaining distance whenever they occur. You could even get wind speed&direction from online service for each such datapoint.

Of course this could only work for the leader of the race since for the rest of them would not be able to obtain remaining distance data. So it makes very little sense in the end...
 
I was thinking about doing something like that but of course, it would have to be programatically. Enter the route gps coordinates (what is usually called shape), then retrieve altitude data from an online service for each route datapoint. The rest is entering timestamp and remaining distance whenever they occur. You could even get wind speed&direction from online service for each such datapoint.

Of course this could only work for the leader of the race since for the rest of them would not be able to obtain remaining distance data. So it makes very little sense in the end...

I'm actually a programmer so it wouldn't be that difficult to do but good formulas and most importantly precise input data is needed (both time and space). Otherwise one can overdo it without improvement vs average estimations. BTW I just edited the previous post with some additional info in the last paragraph.
 
Isn't there only Strava data available for us?

TBH I'm not familiar with this data, its format and accuracy. Isn't that what twitter guys use? (or maybe just official profiles) I tend to think that they don't perform calculations with 100 m interval. IMO they take bigger sections to calculate, maybe 1 km or even averaging over longer homogenous sections or just between key moments of the race.
 
TBH I'm not familiar with this data, its format and accuracy. Isn't that what twitter guys use? (or maybe just official profiles) I tend to think that they don't perform calculations with 100 m interval. IMO they take bigger sections to calculate, maybe 1 km or even averaging over longer homogenous sections or just between key moments of the race.
You can get tcx or gpx files, deserialise and get the data you need (distances, elevation data, times, etc). Basically, you can do full auto calculation if you get these files (programmer as well). Of course, not all riders will post their rides publically (Roglic for instance never does)…
 
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It seems Velonews was off with those estimations. I decided to do my own from Eurosport Player replay: about 13 minutes for the last climb, average VAM about 1660 m/h, which on a 7.6% climb corresponds to about 6 w/kg.

Not as thermonuclear as Velonews assessment. However they mentioned 10 minutes effort. Excluding the last kilometer it was about 1780 m/h of VAM for 9 minutes, so a considerably higher value, which is about 6.4 w/kg. Judging by this, last km was slower but this is assuming we believe in accurate climb profiles 100 % - in Oropa I actually found out that it's not that accurate (I was a spectator).
I checked the data from Mottolino, on Chronoswatts by frederic Portoleau. From Foscagno he doesn't give a specific estimation, but looking at the VAM of ammattipyoraily and the estimation from watts in cycling he did around 6.75 w/kg in the end of foscagno.
 
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Matxin gives the low down on the tour preperations
https://velo.outsideonline.com/road...laught-we-are-paid-to-win-there-are-no-gifts/
...confirmed that Pogačar will have one week off the bike to recover from the Giro, and then spend three weeks at altitude at Isola 2000 in the French Alps to prepare for the Tour.

This is a pretty ambitious plan. Only one week off and then altitude o_O Is it even a typical approach for doing the double? I though more rest between Giro and Tour was planned by guys in the past. Maybe they will start the camp easily and increase intensity in week2 and week3.
 
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This is a pretty ambitious plan. Only one week off and then altitude o_O Maybe they will start the camp much easily and increase intensity in week2 and week3.
Well, its not like he has actually been pushed this Giro? Red Rick joked a few weeks back he was more concerned Pogacar might detrain this Giro. With the gentle parcours and non existent competition that might not be an exaggeration.
 
I'd assume thats how that stuff usually goes?

Maybe but I thought more resting time at home instead of 3-week altitude camp was a more common approach for the double. They planned this camp a long time ago though so I'm assuming it was carefully analysed.

Well, its not like he has actually been pushed this Giro? Red Rick joked a few weeks back he was more concerned Pogacar might detrain this Giro. With the gentle parcours and non existent competition that might not be an exaggeration.

I wouldn't neglect mental fatigue. It's large after a GT, one has to be careful all the time. And it can actually affect the whole body.
 
Maybe but I thought more resting time at home instead of 3-week altitude camp was a more common approach for the double. They planned this camp a long time ago though so I'm assuming it was carefully analysed.



I wouldn't neglect mental fatigue. It's large after a GT, one has to be careful all the time. And it can actually affect the whole body.
Dont worry the forum prophet told us Pogi will never lose anymore, we have to trust him;)
 

'Haters gonna flag' – Tadej Pogačar keeps getting flagged on Strava​



Bonus pic

GOXK4OmWUAErRus
 
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