This. Luck needs to be on his side in order to win PR. MSR is the same, he just needs MVP and Wout to not show up.I agree with @Peyroteo94 . Pogacar has a monster w/kg engine but two Vans have big pure power and are faster in a sprint. Therefore beating both of them in a flat, cobbled race is difficult. PR has some strong luck factor though (mechanicals). To sum up: Pogacar will have a chance to win but won't be favoured against his top rivals.