Let me put it this way.He has said he simply doesn't feel as strong as the other guys in one day races. I can understand why people think he should be able to do better. In stage races he races so much like Pog, with the good sprint and mean mountain watts. But he just can't as it stands.
Stage 1 of the Tour is an LBL type stage. I full expect him to be top 5 over the top of the penultimate climb there