What he said at the Dauphiné was quite striking to me. He said the World Championship this year is complicated due to the trip and schedule; that only makes sense if he does the Vuelta.
I think he prefers to win WC, but he also has to win the three GT. Although the Vuelta has been won by very veteran riders and Pogacar could win it even if he's in worse shape, you never know if he might have accidents and if he won't compete in 3 or 4 years. It's a long time in the sport; they have to live in the present.
And of the upcoming World Championships, it seems Rwanda will be the one to be sacrificed.
Sallanches is Hinault's WC, and Pogacar is quite mythomaniac; he'll want to win that World Championship. Canada also suits him well, and Merckxs won a WC in Montreal, although more riders could win this circuit.
It seems he's prioritized winning the Vuelta as soon as possible and focusing on the World Championships in the next two years.
He could wait four years because the World Championships in Denmark and UAE will be for sprinters. But as I say, it's a long time in the sport. He could've an accident, and winning the Vuelta will take those decision-making problems away from him in the future.
He knows Canada's circuit and Sallanches.
He doesn't know the one in Rwanda, and Slovenia is weak team this year. He'll have considered that this is the year to risk not winning the World Cup.
Besides, winning Tour-Vuelta is physically more difficult than preparing for the World Championships after the Tour.
It's better to do it in his prime than in 2028, when he doesn't know how he'll be.