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Quality Post and 100% spot onklodifan said:I think a lot of you are overthinking this. Take away so-called tactics being called by JB. You must consider the human dynamic. LA has a winner's mentality. All this talk about wanting to raise awareness for cancer is a smokescreen. He wants to win, believes he can win, and today showed his true intent. Whether he can win is a big question, but by directing Popo to ride to the front, having three riders protecting him, it's obvious he feels like he is the leader. Who cares about the time gaps now. It is the psychological aspect that may wear on the other contenders. He wasn't there riding for AC. If he was, he would have warned him like any other good teammate. JB is loyal to LA and vice versa.
Publicus said:And I'm actually not worried about Contador one bit (he was caught out with all of the contenders, so he's not disadvantaged there (I don't consider Lance a real contender)).
Amsterhammer said:Another possible scenario is that LA got a huge moral boost from today, while AC got the opposite. Remember, he knows that this was his own fault for hanging too far back!
caddisfly said:although this makes no more diff to the overall or Astana leadership question than the TT did on Saturday, LA showed again why he won 7 of these things...
on stage 3: Old Man 1, Forum Drama Queens 0
if somehow Astana wins the TTT tomorrow with enough time to put LA in the yellow, I see a lot of headlines world wide and a lot of cyber-wrist-slashing on team FDQ ;-)
caddisfly said:although this makes no more diff to the overall or Astana leadership question than the TT did on Saturday, LA showed again why he won 7 of these things...
on stage 3: Old Man 1, Forum Drama Queens 0
if somehow Astana wins the TTT tomorrow with enough time to put LA in the yellow, I see a lot of headlines world wide and a lot of cyber-wrist-slashing on team FDQ ;-)
klodifan said:I think a lot of you are overthinking this. Take away so-called tactics being called by JB. You must consider the human dynamic. LA has a winner's mentality. All this talk about wanting to raise awareness for cancer is a smokescreen. He wants to win, believes he can win, and today showed his true intent. Whether he can win is a big question, but by directing Popo to ride to the front, having three riders protecting him, it's obvious he feels like he is the leader. Who cares about the time gaps now. It is the psychological aspect that may wear on the other contenders. He wasn't there riding for AC. If he was, he would have warned him like any other good teammate. JB is loyal to LA and vice versa.
Bala Verde said:Probably more drama on the forum here than in the AST bus. They'll open a bottle of champagne to celebrate another victory of the team over the other contenders, in that they did not act/react/read the race. Also gives them more leeway to operate in the mountains, and increases focus on Armstrong...
All good for Contador (who is only 19s behind Armstrong, if that even mattered).
Good ride by SKL again, as well as great result for COL. Good team effort, united, reading the race well, on top of their game.
MonkeyKnifeFight said:Teams only have room for one leader that is for sure. When you have too many chiefs and not enough indians all these shenanigans happen. AC all alone? That is a travesty. First, the LA should have been attentive enough and alerted AC to what was going to happen. Second, the team should have dropped back and pulled him up if he did get caught out. Astana should not be betting the farm on LA in the third stage.
jaylew said:Good post. I agree, though I do think it will make AC a bit more anxious.
dimspace said:if contador had been in that group they would have pushed, why not lance..
lostintime said:The sprints are getting tedious with a one man show, . . . . . but this was otherwise a fantastic flat stage finish.
Wouldn't you love to be a fly in the Astana bus and hotel ?
L29205 said:While I do agree with the fact JB and LA should just go and get married.
Popo and the crew were tasked with keeping LA safe. Just doing their job.
I still think this is a lets feel out the field, if we send LA up the road with support who will follow. I this case no one.
There might have been other things peaking up. Was GH riding to get his boy set up for the spint? Did the Columbia team help LA?
The main thing I learned, if you send an Astana rider up the road no cares unless it is AC.
L29205
dimspace said:why.. alberto had 5 riders with him.. Lance only took two...
as for lance should have alerted him, watch the 20k before the split.. Lance was up at the front with popovich the whole time keeping out of trouble, as was cancellara keeping out of trouble.. If contador hasnt got the brains to realise in the last 30-40k of a race you really need to be near the front, then hes in trouble tactically.. Lets not hope there is a crash mid pelaton, he could kiss his chances goodbye..
As for astana betting the farm, lance was in the right place at the right time, so was huchovd, cancellara, cavendish and everyone else.. Contador wasnt, along with a number of other GC contenders.. wonder why none of them was one lances wheel... Oh hang on.. one was.. Tony Martin.. Spot the brains...
I dont normally critisise peoples intelligence on here, but i do need to wonder if you know what youre on about..
Thoughtforfood said:First off, Armstrong isn't 40 seconds ahead of Contador. He is ahead of Cadel and Schleck and that matters to them.
Franklin said:How easily Lance is being counted out. Things I read:
- Saxo shouldn't have pulled
- Lance will be dropped by AC at will
Are we talking about the same guy here? Sure it's possible Lance cracks, but can you REALLY count on that? Isn't he the most experienced rider? The best climber of his generation? The guy who crushed the competition in a way AC hasn't yet achieved?
Sure, losing 40 second on Lance is absolutely nothing. Hundreds of ways to take those back
As someone said, Ulrich definitely thinks Lance is easy to beat.
benpounder said:19 seconds between LA and AC. 23sec to Kloden and 31 to Leipheimer. With a strong TTT tomorrow, some of the other teams could be shiiting bricks
Having heard some inside gossip from camp Astana, Contador may not be mature enougn to recognize how JB's tactics today help him. The GC teams that really lost are Silence-Lotto, Cervelo, and Rabobank. To a lesser extent Saxo, but they still have super-strongman Cancellera atop the standings. Astana played it perfectly, whereas Columbia may have hurt their GC aims by punishing the other sprinters teams for not helping bring back a break (see Hindcapie's interview).
Think who did the work today. Columbia obviously, but that means two back to back days of team time trialing. The teams that were caught out - Silence-Lotto and Cervelo did try and bring things back. But not Astana or Saxobank.
Tomorrow ought to be as interesting as today!
Publicus said:+1 I think your analysis will ring true. Tough day for Cadel, Carlos and Menchov. They couldn't afford to be down further on GC.