The Hitch said:A month before that kennaugh was the potential contender (though even that was a massive stretch) and neither Wiggins nor froome were mentioned. Even wiggos friend rob hales laughed at the idea of him being able to finish top 20.
Oh and there's no such thing as a 1 hit wonder. Unless they crash or something, then if they 1 day can push out all those watts on a climb and the next year they can't, or vice versa, it's because of a sudden start/ stop point in the doping.
I think because of the characteristics of the 2009 Tour, there was the possibility of a "one-hit wonder" in Wiggins; the race was neutered until the Pyrenées, and while he had surprised by not getting dropped to Arcalis and not losing much to Verbier, the rest of the Pyrenées were soft-pedalled and he lost a few minutes in the only real multi-climb stage (Le Grand Bornand). Throw in a GC-settling TTT and chronic underperformances from Menchov, Evans, Sastre and Pellizotti and you start to think, can he really repeat that, especially on a new team without the experienced hands like Christian Vande Velde to help guide him? There was also a lot of feeling that teams hadn't put pressure on him because they didn't fear him, because they didn't expect him to do well in the mountains and so it was only when he was still hanging on late in the race that they pushed on to attack him, and promptly distanced the guy. Now that he was a marked man, and the better climbers knew that he could hang in there, surely they would know they had to attack him earlier?
The 2010 Tour seemed to see a return to where we might have expected of Wiggins in a more standard Tour route - still a much improved climber over the pre-2009 model, but seemingly in line with what the 2009 model could have achieved in a more normal Tour. It wasn't quite the same as a one-hit wonder à la Arroyo, somebody from the fringes of the top 10 who was given a gift of time that took him to the podium and was unceremoniously dumped back to the fringes of the top 10 where he belonged a year later, I accept. And in retrospect, certainly it's hard to consider that that kind of jump in climbing prowess would just return to pre-2009 levels without there being some kind of doping discussion there being behind it.