SeriousSam said:
A good result is evidence of doping, because if you dope, you are more likely to have a good result than if you don't dope ceteris paribus.
That he won this TT is of course just a tiny fraction of the total evidence that Wiggins is a doper.
Hi Sam. For starters, If you read what I've written, you'll see that I have not argued Wiggins is not a doper. I freely admit that I think it is likely that he is. I am not trying to "Clear his name" or anything like that.
What I've written is in response to Benotti's claim. He claimed that a season of poor results with one good result is evidence of doping. I've asked him to substantiate that. Thus far, he has failed to do so.
This does not at all mean that I see the TT result as being un-suspicious. I do. I've said as much. It's just the grounds upon which that suspicion is based that I take issue with. We have not heard any reason why we should think it is suspicious because of how well Wiggins did (or didn't do) in this season's events so far.
Let me give you an example. Suppose somebody wants to go to Australia by foot. They say to you "I was planning on running to Austrailia, but I'm worried that the Kangaroos will eat me". You reply, "durrrr, Australia is on the other side of the ocean brah, you can't run there you know. Also, Kangaroos don't eat people; that's crazy talk." They say "Bud, don't rub it in, I know theres an ocean in the way, but I still say that I can't run there, since there are killer kangaroos". You both agree that it's impossible for buddy to run to Australia. But you disagree on why. Would that not irk you a little bit?
In this case It's even worse since Benotti's reply to my denial of killer kangaroos is more analgolous to the statement "Kangaroos do so kill people, which makes it impossible to run to Australia. As evidence, I will point out that you're dumb, since there's an ocean in between, making it impossible to run there".
Then, Red Flanders jumps in, and says "bud, you can't run to Australia, theres an ocean in the way, thats all that matters". Bennoti says "ya thats right". you now tell me "they're right you know, there is totally an ocean making it impossible to run to Australia". And I'm left scratching my head, as all I've said is that Kangaroos don't eat people, and if you say that they do, people are going to think you're nuts. Which is why people think that the clinic is nuts--because you all think Kangaroos eat poeple!