Only with Betancur because he is not going to the giro and Offredo (for obvious reasons) if not for those freak happenstances then I am totally confident in all my riders besides Novikov.
Its not like much has changed yet and I considered every rider's ,in my team, season before i picked him.
Gesink will hopefully do well at the ardennes but unless crashes bar his way he will be guaranteed quite a few points from the Tour and the Vuelta which he is doing competitively and suits him. Plus he should really have a truly stellar end of the year as he usually does, with the added fact that he has started late and lesser due to his injury. So hopefully he will put in a good showing in Lombardia plus his usual in Canadian....
From what I've seen that should be enough to get him at least a 400 points profit and that is not with him podiuming GTs and winning monuments etc.
1.
Gesink is my most expensive pick and I believe personally that it is worth it to go for the expensive riders who at least have the capability to make profit.
With Valverde in an ideal world for Squire he will equal his cost but what happens if he doesnt?
Whilst Gesink has the ability to make big profit and at least equal (bad example as he is prone to crashes) Valverde only in an ideal world will equal.
2.
Of course it may work but you have to remember that for a rider like Valverde even if he has a successful season he still may not equal his cost, whilst boassen hagen etc will.
Also I believe that Valverde was in fact more of a safe pick as he was obviously (at least to me) going to come back and do well, which guaranteed points so as I have explained previously instead of challenging for a podium he will be challenging for middle table yet guaranteed as Valverde will deliver him the points.
Of course there is the risk of him injuring himself etc but that is something which i think is irrelevant as for people to factor that in it does dampen the game and i believe people ignore it. (asides from crash prone riders like Gesink

)
According to your logic you should go into the game trying to gain profit of doubling all your cheaper picks so you may as well just add in all those cheaper picks rather than splashing out on valverde as those cheaper picks will need to support vavlerde if you want to have a chance.
3.
So why not just take all cheaper picks?
4.
Also your facts about everbody else's team having to score 378 is subverted because they will have much higher quality riders on their team as they have more money to splash out so it will be much easier for them to score those points.
I think to keep the right balance you should go for some expensive picks as it is ideal to fulfill your maximum 7500 which you cant do with only cheaper picks, but OTT picks like Valverde does not imo give you a fair chance, as it puts much more dependancy on your weaker riders to score.