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In just 10 days, Powless has managed to turn himself from one of the most obvious picks for 2025 to a not so obvious one anymore.
Hold on. Am I understanding this correctly?
Powless was an obvious pick for next year because he'd been kinda bad for most of the year?
Why would a rider being kinda bad make him an obvious pick? Wouldn't there also be risk that he would... continue being bad?
Powless was an obvious pick for next year because he'd been kinda bad for most of the year?
Why would a rider being kinda bad make him an obvious pick? Wouldn't there also be risk that he would... continue being bad?
There are no guarantees of course... but one would have found great value in a rider who has scored 636, 802 and 1060 in the seasons prior to this one.
Just over a month ago he was available to pick within the 250-300 range.
Picking him in that range would have provided a great opportunity, if you believe in his talent, and despite a rough year that he would have been able to bounce back. Unfortunately, he may have done it too early for people who were already looking at him for next years game.
His price have now rocketed in the last month to arrive at 691 points. There could still be some upside for next season, but then you would have to bet on him reaching an all-time high for himself next season to turn out a good/great pick. Not impossible, he can score points in both one-day races and stage-races, but potentially a risky pick in this range.
There are perhaps other riders you could find better value in and potentially a better profit margin, but the past is also not a guarantee for the future. The same goes for riders who are on the way up, who might fail to meet expectations. Try to find out as much as you can about the riders you pick and then make a decision. Hopefully you will pick more winners than "losers".
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I suppose it's about price, but he's still gonna be rather cheap for next year's game...
If I was normal. If I selected my riders based on more usual methods, I'd definitely prefer a rider who'd started showing some form towards the end of the season, rather than a rider who'd just been bad all year.
With 6th in San Sebastian and 8th in Quebec, Powless has basically already proven that his early year struggles were behind him and he was very likely to repeat his typical season of 800-1100 CQ points in 2025. But he was still at a very low score for 2024 at that point due to the wasted spring.
However, 398 CQ points must be one of the highest point hauls any rider has ever scored in October, especially in a year like 2024 when the WC was not in October and no major races were moved to October like in 2020. Just in the last 2 weeks, he scored half the points a rider of his calibre would typically score between February and July- which is typically most of the season if you look at the number of big races in the calendar (over 70% of all WT races are finished before the end of July) and the number race days riders do in general. He's just managed a very unlikely last minute recovery of his 2024 CQ score to a level not much below his typical score, which of course makes him much more unlikely to have significantly over 150% return in 2025, which is what you're looking for in this game (if you're going for the best possible result that is, and not doing some kind of "I will only pick Danish riders with purple hair and at least 4 vowels in their first names" challenge).
Well, congratulations to @shalgo for smashing everyone.
Thanks to @skidmark for hosting the game - with some help from @EvansIsTheBest.
And thanks to @Samu Cuenca for somehow picking an even worse team than what I could come up with.
Thanks to @skidmark for hosting the game - with some help from @EvansIsTheBest.
And thanks to @Samu Cuenca for somehow picking an even worse team than what I could come up with.
Well, congratulations to @shalgo for smashing everyone.
Thanks to @skidmark for hosting the game - with some help from @EvansIsTheBest.
And thanks to @Samu Cuenca for somehow picking an even worse team than what I could come up with.
Happy to be of help. Should we just keep picking the same teams until one of us breaks even? Or perhaps pick teams for one another?
Naah. I have a new guy I'm definitely gonna have on my team next year.
And you cheat with your "Basque" Street Boys. Next year you're probably gonna be like:
"[Rider] has raced against a Basque rider at some point in his career."
I think it's time for the Basque Street Boys to go on hiatus and for the Matxin Martin in me to move on to new projects.
I think you would do well if putting together a serious team, since you have done well in other games.
How about a team consisting only of Swedes?
Actual Swedes.
Are there even 25 Swedes who are possible picks?
While I appreciate the support, I think I've only ever put together one completely serious team so far and that was for this year's women's CQ game, which I'm not winning either.
The best Swedish rider at the moment is of course Wandahl, but there are definitely enough other possible picks.
National Championships Sweden ME - Road Race 2024 One day race results
Jacob Eriksson is the winner of National Championships Sweden ME - Road Race 2024, before Joel Rydergren and Gabriel Sandør.
www.procyclingstats.com
You are second, I believe. You can put together a good team for this game as well, you are not fooling me.
No.
BTW, I tried to put together a serious team for the Spring Classics Game! It did not work out too well for me.
I have a hunch that I've dropped down to third now.
I can probably select a team that won't finish last, but I'm not sure I have it in me to compile one that can challenge the more experienced players.
The update is up on CQ. Congrats to @shalgo on the most dominant win ever and thanks to @skidmark for being a gracious host as always. Shout out to @Squire and @Earns1985 for keeping me company a million miles behind shalgo and keeping those last few months interesting.
Finishing fifth after being in second place most of the year leaves a bit of a sour taste I won't lie. Although it was probably the most logical outcome, Van Eetvelt winning the GC with Onley second was the worst case scenario for me. I'll get my revenge next year (well not on squire since their team beats mine every time but the others maybe).
Time to start working on that 2025 team. I'll try to pop by occasionally during the offseason with some stats including the optimal team.
Finishing fifth after being in second place most of the year leaves a bit of a sour taste I won't lie. Although it was probably the most logical outcome, Van Eetvelt winning the GC with Onley second was the worst case scenario for me. I'll get my revenge next year (well not on squire since their team beats mine every time but the others maybe).
Time to start working on that 2025 team. I'll try to pop by occasionally during the offseason with some stats including the optimal team.
There are 34 Ecuadorian riders currently ranked on CQ. Just pick one you don't want to include and boom your team is done.
Armchair Cyclist
Moderator
Armchair Cyclist
Moderator
And a reminder to all to keep a side list of those with a lifetime total of <200 points for the next cycle of the Emerging Riders while putting together your team for the main game.
What do you mean he was bad for most of the year. He was injured. He got a knee injury in Tirreno that kept him out of the whole cobbled season and left him behind on training for the next part of his season. Only at the second half of the season was he back to fitness and the results shows that.
If his cost was just a little lower for next season he would have been an ideal pick since his lower points actually had an explanation as opposed to someone who was just bad all of a sudden.
Terrible final week for me. I was one of the lowest scorers of the week with 45 points and lost 4 places to finish a provisional 16th.
Then again it's my 2nd highest finish ever since my win in 2011 though only my 4th highest points total but that has more to do with the overall shape of the rankings from year to year.
I already have a solid long list for next season and I'm looking to improve my overall position. Just gotta balance picking with my brain and picking with my heart.
Then again it's my 2nd highest finish ever since my win in 2011 though only my 4th highest points total but that has more to do with the overall shape of the rankings from year to year.
I already have a solid long list for next season and I'm looking to improve my overall position. Just gotta balance picking with my brain and picking with my heart.
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