The Cycling Betting Thread

[Cramps]

Ok let me answer my own question - just seen it was a mountain time trial

It was a very odd TT, the first half was flat flat and Costa still did very well on the splits there, close to TJVG. But the big TT guns (Froome, Martin) weren't there.

Froome for top 3 feels like money in the bank? Better odds than him winning the tour, and probably fewer unforeseeables.

 

[bennewsom]

Chavanel to better Kwiatkowski @ $2.62 seems like good value on bet365?

 

[Cramps]

Chavanel to better Kwiatkowski @ $2.62 seems like good value on bet365?

Don't know, Kwiatkowski beat him by comfortable margin in Dauphine on a similar kind of course

 

[manafana]

risked martin big today hoping that wind doesnt turn on me

 

[Cramps]

risked martin big today hoping that wind doesnt turn on me

You can look now...

 

[Ferminal]

Voigt over Bauer @ $2.20 (Unibet) - seem to have taken it down now
Rodriguez over Martin @ $1.85 (Unibet) - best price there than other books
Gesink over Navarro @ $2 (Unibet) - obviously I don't have the correct weights, but Gesink is heavier than Navarro and has a bit on him usually.

Porte top 3 @ $7.50 (Sportingbet)

Froome to win @ $5 (Sportingbet) - Money back if he comes 2nd.

Voigt softpedalling is pretty annoying.

 

[Sasquatch]

Voigt softpedalling is pretty annoying.

Yeah, didn't expect him to soft pedal, but he's obviously marked perhaps Saturday's stage as a day for him, and is probably saving his energy.

What is annoying is the inconsistency of De Gendt and him doing that time. I suppose Porte is part to blame too. The main bet I was hoping to get up was Porte. At that price, he had to be taken.

 

[Sasquatch]

Sagan top 3 @ $2.40
Danny Van Poppel top 3 @ $31
John Degenkolb top 3 @ $31

Sportingbet

This will be chaotic

Van Poppel is nice top 3 value if he has himself in a good position. Degenkolb is a maybe. They are only small anyway. Sagan is the big one.

 

[murali]

I saw 4.1 against Kittel in betfair. Anyone laying on Kittel today? He seems to gather too much interest with his second win

 

[Cramps]

I never suspected Valverde e/w would be destroyed today!

 

[Leadbelly]

Yup that's another of my ante-post bets down the drain, but it increases the chance of a Mollema podium - so it's not all bad.

 

[Leadbelly]

Stage 14

Lutsenko 101
Navardauskas 101

Both with PP.

 

[richard_91]

Been kicking myself for ages for doing Taaramae top 10 instead of valverde to podium...atleast I was doomed either way!

 

[Sasquatch]

I'm not writing off my Nieve top 10 @ $51 yet

 

[Leadbelly]

Talansky for the white jersey could be back on, but I figure he'll lose a packet tomorrow.

Kreuziger 67ew (was available at 101 initailly, but no ew market)
Kwiatkowski 151ew (can't see this one myself, but the strong winds near the top might discourage too many long range attacks/slow the pace enough for him not to get shelled)

 

[Sasquatch]

Valverde @ $11

Schleck over Evans @ $1.59
Rolland over Bardet @ $2.20
Navarro over Poels @ $1.63

 

[Sasquatch]

I'm not writing off my Nieve top 10 @ $51 yet

What could have been if he didn't lose 9 minutes on that stage during the week....

Still, there's 3 tough stages, and a chance for him to pick up time in the break.

#stillbelieve

 

[Leadbelly]

What could have been if he didn't lose 9 minutes on that stage during the week....

Still, there's 3 tough stages, and a chance for him to pick up time in the break.

#stillbelieve

He looked really strong today. Was glad he didn't get pipped by JRod for third - he deserved it after pacing Contador for that long distance.

Stage 16 - Rolland 176ew

If he's gonna have any chance of winning the KotM I feel he has to have a go on this stage too. It's only 12 points available, but he'll have the TT the day after to rest up.

 

[Sasquatch]

He looked really strong today. Was glad he didn't get pipped by JRod for third - he deserved it after pacing Contador for that long distance.

Stage 16 - Rolland 176ew

If he's gonna have any chance of winning the KotM I feel he has to have a go on this stage too. It's only 12 points available, but he'll have the TT the day after to rest up.

I agree and I would also look at Nieve for that stage.

Euskaltel need something out of this tour, and we know how strong Nieve is. Nieve will go after the dots now.

 

[Leadbelly]

Also on Kwiatek at 76ew with PP in case it is a GC type group contesting the finish.

 

[MADRAZO]

Also on Kwiatek at 76ew with PP in case it is a GC type group contesting the finish.

Crazy odds. Mollema 375/1 with ew is pretty crazy too if it should be a smallbunch sprint

 

[Hugo Koblet]

I have Froome as KoM winner @ 10. Not too bad

 

[Leadbelly]

Quintana 76ew for the TT tomorrow.

Does anyone know the forecast? I know there's been talk about rain coming. Could be tasty.

 

[Ferminal]

Yeh that and...

Sagan @ 501
Contador @ 26

Froome is likely to take less risks on the descents than Quintana and Contador.


Erm Valverde @ 376, Purito @ 501 too.

 

[Ferminal]

80% chance of rain.

Quintana into 26, still value there.