ImmaculateKadence said:A valid one that I agree with.
I don't think he'll finish outside the top ten. No TTT is certainly a disadvantage for him, but if you'd take it out of last year's Tour, he still would have finished in the top 5 or just outside.
I dont' understand why everybody thinks his lack of results are indicative of a poor performance at the Tour. He looks about the same as last year, and the only thing that matters to him is July. One photo taking with his head down while exhaling doesn't mean anything, regardless of what some of the more critical users think.
If this year's Tour was the same route, but no TTT, then I think you make a decent argument for him being top 10. But it's not the same route and there will be a boat load of new contenders to contend with. Right now Im just not seeing the determination to win from him. Maybe he'll get it later, but the guy doesn't talk like a professional cyclist or act like one. Maybe he lights it up in MSR this weekend and puts all of these questions to rest.
But as it stands right now, none of the stuff he and Bruyneel (and Carmichael) about his fitness, weight loss, etc., has proven to be remotely true.