3 big delusions from most of Contador fans:
1. Attacking style is way stronger than defensive style (here, I'm adding: because Contador preaches attacking style). It's false. Defensive style has a wide range of its advantages. I suspect this myth was born just to underline weakness of team Sky in the 2012 Tour and try to convince oneself that Contador is way ahead of these British GT upstarts.
2. An idea that supremacy by actual titles makes him unconditional Tour favorite. It is wrong. Someone is good at something as much as someone is good at something currently. What happened in 2007-2010 is completely irrelevant for the 2013 Tour de France. Every season has its factors, circumstances, relation of forces etc, etc. Previous merits is just for statistics and nothing more.
3. Contador 2009 (2011) level is a guarantor of his invulnerability. It is wrong. There are no ceilings and it is foolish to try set ceilings for his opponents. Theorethically, a better rider can hit the picture every year and it is not a matter of VAM. Time doesnot stay still. Naturally, a fan can contemplate 'it is impossible until it happens' but that is rather self-deception.
When the Tour parcours was unveiled, I expressed my thoughts on a probable winner. Froome 45%, Contador 35%, Andy 10%, all the rest 10% and I stick to that today as well.