van der Meulen has also moved over to Lotto-Soudal along with Annelies Dom and promising Dutch teenager Puck Moonen, who also has one of the coolest names in cycling. They to an extent replace Susanna Zorzi who's moving over to Drops as they look to up their continental program to help with the rider development, especially having kept a hold of Alice Barnes who looks to be developing into a very interesting rider.
So... who are the contenders for tomorrow?
GREAT BRITAIN:
Obvious leader is Deignan/Armitstead, seeing as she is the defending champion. She is of course strong in a group sprint, especially if it's been thinned out a bit, so they'll want the likes of Dani King to hammer the pace to try to burn off some of the sprinters who may suffer in the heat if Lizzie feels good. Form is a bit hard to tell, since the Olympics she's been far from her best, but she was strong in the TTT last weekend. Other options are Hannah Barnes who's a strong sprinter, and her younger sister for whom a flat Worlds has probably come a couple of years too soon.
NETHERLANDS:
Obviously a super-stacked super-team with probably only van Dijk and Knetemann who will be pure domestique engines, although Anna VDB and Annemiek may be used for that purpose as well given how much less this suits them than Rio, however in Annemiek's case at Rio she wasn't expected to be going as well as she was anyhow. Anna VDB managed to fool the bunch in La Course last year in a pan flat short circuit race akin to this, however that was with the benefit of large crashes and horrendous rain, at least one of which is unlikely in Doha. Pieters will probably mark moves, and with Chantal Blaak and Marianne Vos they have two who can win from any selective group that gets away, and with Kirsten Wild they have the purest power sprinter in the field and the queen of the echelon; not for nothing is she one of the absolute favourites.
USA:
The assumption here is that Coryn Rivera is the likely victory hope, being an excellent rider on the US crit circuit renowned for wide open roads, so likely more applicable to Doha than the Dutch/Belgian type of crit with 476 pieces of road furniture in a 3km circuit. Guarnier is capable from a group but tends to prefer hillier and more mountainous terrain, but they have some strong engines to help engineer that finale or make some interesting escape attempts.
ITALY:
An embarrassment of sprinting riches, but the big question is whether any can outmuscle the fastest. With four rainbow jerseys split between three riders in the team, they've got a lot of experience, and also riders who've shown themselves good in heat - both Guarischi and Bronzini won flat stages in excruciating heat in the Giro Rosa in the last two seasons. Also, the longer a race is, the more of a contender Giorgia Bronzini becomes, as she is very much like a female Óscar Freire in her style - he won three rainbow jerseys, could she replicate his feat? The other ace in the hole is Marta Bastianelli, who won the 2007 Worlds solo and has a very storied career, having now reinvented herself since motherhood as a durable sprinter par excellence. Having said that winning the rainbow stripes so young more or less ruined her career as she wasn't ready for what it entailed and made poor choices following it, it would be one hell of a redemption story. She also has some of the best engines in the bunch in Guderzo and Longo Borghini on side.
AUSTRALIA:
The Aussies have rather incredibly chosen some riders who don't ride for Orica. Mainly because their fastest finisher is Chloe Hosking, who rides for Wiggle. She has to be considered one of the absolute contenders for the victory, having won similar styled races like La Course and Chongming. She's a very fast finisher who goes well in the heat, and if she struggles they have Sarah Roy as a backup option who is also a strong sprinter. Rowney also has a fast finish and will probably be a quality leadout unless something happens to the sprinters, but Cromwell and Elvin will be likely to involve themselves in late group moves.
POLAND:
The Poles, despite the fact the majority of their country is flat, don't really have a sprinting option. Bujak and Pawlowska have both won sprints this year, but this has mostly been in rolling and hilly terrain. Bujak's win was at Plouay against a world class field, mind - however while they may at least try to be active don't expect the likes of Plichta and Niewiadoma to play key parts in the race like they did in Rio or Plumelec.
CANADA:
Leah Kirchmann is probably their best shot at this, though she will need a fairly trimmed down group to be the fastest. She went well in Chongming though, so she's not a rank outsider. They have decent domestiques here, Numainville will also offer a potential option, but the strongest helper is Canuel who the course doesn't really suit.
SWEDEN:
Emilia Fahlin won a sprint from a group, rather surprisingly, at Vårgårda, but who am I kidding? Emma J all the way. She will either finish 3rd or way down, and then retire without ever getting that big career defining victory and everybody should be saddened by that.
GERMANY:
The biggest problem Germany have is the opposite to their men: here they don't have a truly world class sprinter to finish the job, even though they have probably the finest corps of time triallists to pull the bunch and set the pace of anybody, with Brennauer, Worrack, Kasper and Kröger. Brennauer will probably have to be reserved as sprinter as she has a very strong kick (winning the 2015 Aviva Women's Tour utilizing the bonus seconds), but she's not a pure sprinter.
FRANCE:
The French, by contrast, have exactly the same problem as their men: a few different sprinting options who need a slightly more selective race and who could potentially get in each other's way in Fournier, Jeuland and Biannic, but only one world class engine to help control the race, in Audrey Cordon.
SOUTH AFRICA:
Will hope that the race is more selective than anticipated and they can do something with Ash, who scored pretty much all of their qualification points.
BELGIUM:
The last of the 6-woman teams, they are all out for the sprint, as per the newspaper cuttings above. Jolien d'Hoore has to be considered among the favourites, over the last 2 years she has shown herself one of the strongest sprinters in the women's field after finally completing studies and devoting herself full time to the sport. The absence of Kaat Hannes, the Belgian champion, is slightly odd, though with Kopecky and van der Meulen they will have a pretty useful leadout.
BELARUS:
Amialiusik is flying solo and the course doesn't suit her. The only other world class rider they have is Tuhai who is about as well-suited to this as Kirsten Wild is to the Mortirolo - she likes the cold and climbing.
RUSSIA:
No sprinting options that I can see here unless Syradoeva who I know little about is one. Some useful TT skills, however, with Vasilieva and Zabelinskaya so maybe they'll try a late flyer.
FINLAND:
The Finns actually have one of the fastest sprinters out there in Lotta Lepistö, however this kind of heat is not something that she's either used to or keen on, and the three riders protecting her will have a pretty tough task through the day, though I think Väinionpää has potential.
SWITZERLAND:
Nicole Hänselmann is flying solo. She got a surprise stage win in the Tour of Norway but competing here alone is a thankless task with the likes of Schweizer and Neff not competing.
LUXEMBOURG:
Christine Majerus has a good finishing kick but could do with this being really selective. Three riders only counts against her too.
UKRAINE:
No sprinters, all time triallists.
SPAIN:
Sheyla Gutiérrez is a half decent sprinter, but the support is limited and she's usually a placements rider through the season anyhow so a medal here would be a hell of an achievement.
DENMARK:
The most interesting of the three-woman teams, with Amalie Dideriksen having shown a turn of pace in the Boels Rentals Tour and excellent strength in the AWT. Cecilie Uttrup Ludwig is another great prospect although seemingly needing a hillier course after her excellent performances in the Lotto Belgium Tour and the Euros at Plumelec, while Leth is more experienced and reads a race well.
OTHER NATIONS:
Ting Ying Huang is perhaps the first name to jump out at you after her heroics in Chongming, although she's not been able to replicate that when brought into the European péloton in July. Anything can happen in a one-off sprint though, one crash or favourite taking a bad line opens up all kinds of possibilities, and we know she has the speed. Lithuania's Rasa Leleivyte has had a bit of a comeback year following a readjustment to her position in the péloton after her doping ban. She's shown herself to be more adept in punchy terrain, but as a young rider she was a sprinter with Safi so she can finish well, having almost made the reverse career transition to Bastianelli. Croatia's Mia Radotic is a pretty useful sprinter but I would have thought the field is a bit much for her even if she wasn't racing solo.
I fully expect the race to be boring. Sorry to say it, but I do. I really hope we don't see a repeat of København, where the poor quality of the race becomes a stick to beat women's cycling with, because we've seen so much positive progress since then, and we've seen some really great races, some hidden (the Giro stage to Signora della Guardia or Strade Bianche, for example) and some we've been able to watch (Plouay, Olympic Road Race). Back then, that race was given as exhibit A in the "women's cycling is boring!" argument, and given the men's race was equally shingle-inducing, I felt that while I agreed it was a terrible race, it was unfairly seized upon given good races at Mendrisio, Varese and Beijing.
I do feel that people are more happy to agree that poor racing at these Worlds is the fault of a terrible parcours rather than the fault of the riders, however, as understandably during the week the races, the lack of fans and the conditions have understandably faced massive criticism. I do hope I'm wrong, but this is going to be a bunch sprint with a few unsuccessful attempts in the latter third of the race to make something of it.