Tirreno-Adriatico 2014 Discussion - Who will win?

[rune1107]

Who do you guys think will win the Tirreno race this year, especially after Froome and Nibali aren't attending I think the race is pretty open!

 

[ianstannard]

Does Richie Porte have a big chance of winning this? new cycling fan here.

 

[LaFlorecita]

I think Nairito will win but I'm hoping for Contador of course, this is the best chance he'll ever get to add Tirreno to his palmares.

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Ritchie will come with his '13 PN form and grab the win by a small margin.

Also I think Kwia will demand a step on the podium.

Quintana and Contador to fight for one of the places.

Looking forward to it.

 

[ianstannard]

Does Porte have an edge over Quintana and Contador for the ITT and also the TTT?

 

[Peter von]

Does Porte have an edge over Quintana and Contador for the ITT and also the TTT?

It's really hard to tell, Porte is a very good TT'er, maybe a more natural one than Contador, but Contador has done many great TT's during his career, but mostly before his ban and when there were many hills and corners. I think Porte has a small edge given that the ITT in TA is flat and with very few corners. Porte have an edge over Quintana in flat TT's.

As for the TTT we'll have to wait for the complete startlist,but i'd say they're about even.

In these early races it's always difficult to tell, because the riders still are improving their form towards bigger races.

 

[ianstannard]

Aside from the Time trials, is Porte far behind of Quintana and Contador in terms of climbing? Does he have a big chance to go head to head with these two riders?

 

[sck451]

As for the TTT we'll have to wait for the complete startlist,but i'd say they're about even.

The TTT should be very close. ProCyclingStats has teams listed for Sky and Movistar, which have some big names and TT ability, as does OPQS's partial lineup.

Sky: Porte, Wiggins, Siutsou, Cataldo
Movistar: Dowsett, Intxausti, Castroviejo, Malori, Quintana
OPQS: Martin, Kwiatkowski, Uran

Who knows what Tinkoff will produce in the TTT...

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Kwiatkowski will win.

 

[LaFlorecita]

Kwiatkowski will win.

He has a big chance, I agree. The muro and the TTT and ITT will be good for him.

 

[Netserk]

He has a big chance, I agree. The muro and the TTT and ITT will be good for him.

The muro won't.

 

[LaFlorecita]

The muro won't.

I think it can go either way. He could crack or ride away from everyone else

 

[Dazed and Confused]

The muro won't.

Agree, a little too steep at business end. Of course his descending from the climb could help setup a lead before hitting the grades. Anyway, this stage is where Quintanan and Contador must take time on Kwia.

Very little will happen on the MTF stage imo.

Also must agree now with Eshnar, this race needs a hard classic stage.

 

[jens_attacks]

make a poll for christ sake

if riders like porte,contador,papy or quintana don't attack all out on lanciano, cadel wins

 

[theyoungest]

The muro won't.

It depends. Last year he wasn't great on the finish in Chieti, but then he got 4th (?) on the Mur de Huy...

He's probably the best TTist of the lot.

 

[Netserk]

It depends. Last year he wasn't great on the finish in Chieti, but then he got 4th (?) on the Mur de Huy...

He's probably the best TTist of the lot.

Yes, but the muro has Lanciano before it, Huy doesn't. Also judged my the little footage I saw of Algarve and his performances in last year's T-A, he seems to do better on ~7% than the extra steep stuff. I do however think he'll do really well on the MTF.

 

[Marco Pantani]

make a poll for christ sake

Hope the options will be as proper as the ones from the strade poll.

 

[TANK91]

1 thing for sure this forum is ging to be ripped to pieces i the saint dont win haha, his number 1 rival is out he should win if he is going to be better than Froome that means beating Quintana and the rest.

 

[TANK91]

is prato di tivo still in?

 

[Netserk]

is prato di tivo still in?

Why don't you check the site/route?

 

[Afrank]

Does Porte have an edge over Quintana and Contador for the ITT and also the TTT?

Porte should beat them in the TT, TTT a little more complicated.

Sky
CATALDO Dario
EISEL Bernhard
KENNAUGH Peter
NIEVE Mikel
PORTE Richie
SIUTSOU Kanstantsin
STANNARD Ian
WIGGINS Bradley

Movistar
AMADOR Andrey
ANTON Igor
CAPECCHI Eros
CASTROVIEJO Jonathan
DOWSETT Alex
INTXAUSTI Beñat
MALORI Adriano
QUINTANA Nairo

Saxo (what's been confirmed for them)
ROCHE Nicolas
BENNATI Daniele
KREUZIGER Roman
CONTADOR Alberto

All 3 can field very strong teams for the TTT, and the teams named are looking like strong teams for it (of the riders named in Saxo's case), fairly equal I'd say. I think they'll all finish close to each other with Sky coming out first.

Aside from the Time trials, is Porte far behind of Quintana and Contador in terms of climbing? Does he have a big chance to go head to head with these two riders?

I wouldn't consider him behind, he can definitely compete for the win along with them. Would probably say it would go something like Quintana>Porte=Contador, but margin is small between them.

 

[Afrank]

I'll be hoping for either a Quitana or Contador victory in this one. Quintana get's my vote to prevail.

 

[Arredondo]

I don't know how good Quintana actually is after his rest period. He got dropped by Machado in Murcia.

I'm going for a duel Kwiat - Conta

 

[staubsauger]

Normally Quintana should own this, unless Porte increases his Eugeni-Berzin alike joke Perfomances .

 

[Race Radio]

Cadel is showing some form today. Could make next week interesting.