Tirreno-Adriatico 2014 Discussion - Who will win?

[rune1107]

Porte should beat them in the TT, TTT a little more complicated.

Sky
CATALDO Dario
EISEL Bernhard
KENNAUGH Peter
NIEVE Mikel
PORTE Richie
SIUTSOU Kanstantsin
STANNARD Ian
WIGGINS Bradley

Movistar
AMADOR Andrey
ANTON Igor
CAPECCHI Eros
CASTROVIEJO Jonathan
DOWSETT Alex
INTXAUSTI Beñat
MALORI Adriano
QUINTANA Nairo

Saxo (what's been confirmed for them)
ROCHE Nicolas
BENNATI Daniele
KREUZIGER Roman
CONTADOR Alberto

All 3 can field very strong teams for the TTT, and the teams named are looking like strong teams for it (of the riders named in Saxo's case), fairly equal I'd say. I think they'll all finish close to each other with Sky coming out first.



I wouldn't consider him behind, he can definitely compete for the win along with them. Would probably say it would go something like Quintana>Porte=Contador, but margin is small between them.

I do think that Tinkoff-Saxo will the be the strongest on the TTT. The questions for me is, if Contador can pull a great ITT out he's sleeve. Cause Kwiatkowski looks very strong. Especially after destroying Sagan in Strade Bianche!

 

[Afrank]

I think we'll have to add Kwiatkowski to the big 3 (now 4) favorites. Good team so far for the TTT. Will OPQS ride for Uran though?

OPQS
URAN Rigoberto
PETACCHI Alessandro
KWIATKOWSKI Michal
POELS Wout
MARTIN Tony
CAVENDISH Mark

Sky
CATALDO Dario
EISEL Bernhard
KENNAUGH Peter
NIEVE Mikel
PORTE Richie
SIUTSOU Kanstantsin
STANNARD Ian
WIGGINS Bradley

Movistar
AMADOR Andrey
ANTON Igor
CAPECCHI Eros
CASTROVIEJO Jonathan
DOWSETT Alex
INTXAUSTI Beñat
MALORI Adriano
QUINTANA Nairo

Saxo (what's been confirmed for them)
ROCHE Nicolas
BENNATI Daniele
KREUZIGER Roman
CONTADOR Alberto

 

[VeloHuman]

Kwiatkowski is on the best TTT team and he also has the best short ITT of any of the GC contenders. It won't win him a huge chunk of time, as it's only 9.2k, but this race will be close as it is.

 

[ianstannard]

Is Kwiatkowski better than Porte?

 

[JRanton]

Kwiatkowski is on the best TTT team and he also has the best short ITT of any of the GC contenders. It won't win him a huge chunk of time, as it's only 9.2k, but this race will be close as it is.

Plus he'll be amongst the best on that wall. So yeah, in his current form he probably goes in as the biggest favourite.

 

[Vino's Mum]

Is Kwiatkowski better than Porte?

Does the pope **** in the woods?

 

[Jspear]

I think we'll have to add Kwiatkowski to the big 3 (now 4) favorites. Good team so far for the TTT. Will OPQS ride for Uran though?

I too think that Kwiatkowski is a contender, but If Porte, Quintana, and Contador are real aggressive in the mountains, I think Kwiatkowski will be dropped.

 

[Netserk]

I too think that Kwiatkowski is a contender, but If Porte, Quintana, and Contador are real aggressive in the mountains, I think Kwiatkowski will be dropped.

Which mountains?

 

[Afrank]

Is Kwiatkowski better than Porte?

Still remains to be seen I'd say, have to see the two go mano-o-mano against each other. Don't think they have yet.

 

[Jspear]

Which mountains?

Stages 4 and 5 have mountains.

 

[Parrulo]

Which mountains?

Contador 7 k/kg up Lanciano baby!!!

In all seriousness, if Algarve is anything to go by Contador should be the top favourite for the win. And so should Costa in PN considering both dropped Kwia on Malhão.

 

[theyoungest]

Contador 7 k/kg up Lanciano baby!!!

In all seriousness, if Algarve is anything to go by Contador should be the top favourite for the win.

One stage where Kwia dropped Conta, another where Conta dropped Kwia... how is Contador the favourite on that basis?

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

One stage where Kwia dropped Conta, another where Conta dropped Kwia... how is Contador the favourite on that basis?

Kwiat dropped Contador on a hill. Malhao is somewhere between a hill and a medium-mountain, and Contador dropped him there.

So I think Malhao says more

 

[Parrulo]

One stage where Kwia dropped Conta, another where Conta dropped Kwia... how is Contador the favourite on that basis?

For some reason i though Kwia had ridden San luis this year so i though he had more race days. Never mind then, you are right. Although he still had 4 more race days than Contador

 

[jens_attacks]

looking at kiwi and his form, contador should't risk and wait too much for guardiagrele. he should attack on the first ramps of lanciano. but we all can dream of course


forzza papy !

 

[theyoungest]

Kwiat dropped Contador on a hill. Malhao is somewhere between a hill and a medium-mountain, and Contador dropped him there.

So I think Malhao says more

The two climbs were fairly similar. And Kwia just rode Conta off his wheel on the first one.

 

[LaFlorecita]

The two climbs were fairly similar. And Kwia just rode Conta off his wheel on the first one.

He did? From the reports it sounded like he sneaked away close to the top.

 

[hfer07]

Papi Horner riding? cuz he may invoke his vuelta powers & make an early statement

but seriously- As of today- I foresee Nairito & Contador for the title with Kwiat & Porte for the podium spots.

 

[Netserk]

Nairo's TT is too bad for him to have a chance.

 

[LaFlorecita]

Nairo's TT is too bad for him to have a chance.

Nairito will be in the mix definitely

Nairito vs Papy vs Contador vs Richieborg vs Kwiat

 

[jens_attacks]

Nairo's TT is too bad for him to have a chance.

not if he goes full throttle on lanciano...side by side with legendary papy and alberto...uff if nothing happens again on lanciano, i don't think i will ever watch a race with lanciano in it

 

[Pulpstar]

Not sure if its already been posted but Froomedog out with a bad back.

Is it a target for Nibbles ?

 

[trevim]

Porte is winning this easy. Only Quintana can stop him I believe.

 

[Pulpstar]

Hmm Nibbles not in either.

Going to stick my neck out and say Quintana.

The evidence is here for all to see last time I thought a Sky rider other than Froome was a 'banker' for a race ]

 

[theyoungest]

He did? From the reports it sounded like he sneaked away close to the top.

Yeah, from the reports it seemed like that but on the footage (which you've undoubtedly seen) it looks different.