Tirreno-Adriatico 2026 March 9-15

[SafeBet]

Ganna almost 10" faster than last year. Monster performance.

 

[Salvarani]

Hayter a bit disappointing

 

[Red Rick]

Still a pretty underwhelming showing compared to what he would have done even two years ago, though.

He was worse in this TT in 2023

 

[Samu Cuenca]

He couldn't even do it in under 12 minutes, and he'll have to do Cipressa in under 9...

 

[Berniece]

Okay Pipo. He said he is not as good as last year yet. Had some good slipstream from the rider in front also. Hope he doesn’t try for GC here and be fresher for the next month.

I think it will be hard for him not to go for a GC on this route. He'll stay in the leaders jersey for such a long time that he wants to keep going for it.

 

[YavorD]

Okay Pipo. He said he is not as good as last year yet. Had some good slipstream from the rider in front also. Hope he doesn’t try for GC here and be fresher for the next month.

Hope he realises that this year's route is much worse for him in regards to GC.

 

[Devil's Elbow]

He was worse in this TT in 2023

That was his first race day after 5 months recovering from injury, and in a race he wasn't planning to do until pretty late.

 

[VayaVayaVaya]

Still a pretty underwhelming showing compared to what he would have done even two years ago, though.

Different race, different conditions, different winter prep (in 2023 he was coming off of shoulder surgery), but he was 12th at :49 off of Ganna, 51.9kmh vs this year he's sitting at 7th at :31 off of Ganna, 53.9kmh.

 

[kingjr]

Hayter a bit disappointing

He just indicated he will be one minute behind. I think that's just disappointment speaking, though.

 

[search]

Still a pretty underwhelming showing compared to what he would have done even two years ago, though.

Roglic actually was never better than 5th in a Tirreno ITT, so I'd say it's okay. The Appeldoorn one was a bit of an outlier when it comes to short, flat courses.

 

[Tim Cahill]

Hills too steep for Ganna this edition, he said he was just going to ride it in the rest of the stages, he needs a nice consistent gradient to pace himself.

 

[Brullnux]

Still a pretty underwhelming showing compared to what he would have done even two years ago, though.

When Ganna is on form on this course, I don't think anyone outside of Evenepoel is within 20s of him

 

[Squire]

He just indicated he will be one minute behind. I think that's just disappointment speaking, though.

He's going for first.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

Can hindley drop de Toro in this race????

 

[Devil's Elbow]

When Ganna is on form on this course, I don't think anyone outside of Evenepoel is within 20s of him

I don't think that beating Walscheid, Milan and Hatherly is that high a bar to clear, also on this route.

This take also implies that Arensman is a contender for third-best time trialist in the world, which I'm not exactly convinced by.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

Can hindley drop de Toro in this race????

If he tries to lift him, then sure. Whether he can climb faster remains to be seen, but I doubt it right now.

 

[Krzysztof_O]

So the Flat Truck Bully crushes the competition again by a similar margin to last year (but with a time better by 9 seconds), looking good for MSR. Arensman the best from GC guys. Rogla also gained a bit of time over Tiberi and Del Toro. Should be an interesting week.

 

[Rackham]

I think that was normal (& thus pretty good) Rog actually. Maybe on the better side of normal. But the issue last year wasn't the ITT (his Giro ITT's were good, especially the first one). It's the mountains where the question marks are.

 

[Berniece]

I think that was normal (& thus pretty good) Rog actually. Maybe on the better side of normal. But the issue last year wasn't the ITT (his Giro ITT's were good, especially the first one). It's the mountains where the question marks are.

Luckily there are no mountains this year in Tirreno, just steep hills

 

[Dazed and Confused]

Final result:

1	Ganna Filippo	INEOS Grenadiers	60	50		12:08	56.868
2	Arensman Thymen	INEOS Grenadiers	40	30		0:22	55.200
3	Walscheid Max	Lidl - Trek	30	18		0:26	54.907
4	Sheffield Magnus	INEOS Grenadiers	25	13		,,	54.907
5	Milan Jonathan	Lidl - Trek	20	10		0:29	54.690
6	Hatherly Alan	Team Jayco AlUla	15	7		0:30	54.617
7	Roglič Primož	Red Bull - BORA - hansgrohe	10	4		0:31	54.545
8	Hayter Ethan	Soudal Quick-Step	8	3		0:32	54.474
9	Tiberi Antonio	Bahrain - Victorious	5	2		0:33	54.402
10	del Toro Isaac	UAE Team Emirates - XRG	2	1		0:36	54.188

Ganna's pace even better than what I wrote earlier.

 

[Ilmaestro99]

Roglic beaten by 'alen hatherly'

 

[YavorD]

Roglic beaten by 'alen hatherly'

Alien* Hatherly more like.

 

[Brullnux]

I don't think that beating Walscheid, Milan and Hatherly is that high a bar to clear, also on this route.

This take also implies that Arensman is a contender for third-best time trialist in the world, which I'm not exactly convinced by.

Individual pursuit world record holder faster on a 12 minute flat out and back TT than Roglic. Shocker. And Walscheid wasn't far off Pogacar on a similar (but slightly longer) TT last year, on a worse TT bike.

Maybe Tarling, WvA and Pogacar can squeeze in around the 15s mark, but even Ayuso (a gun on short flat TTs) doesn't come inside that. Roglic is maybe like 5s short at most.

 

[KZD]

Monstrous ride from Ganna, as usual from him in this San Benedetto del Tronto TT.

Small gaps among GC riders. Arensman was the fastest but I really don't think these explosive climbs are well suited to him. I believe that Del Toro is the strongest rider in the race but Red Bull seems to have the strongest team with several cards to play so it should be really interesting to follow.

 

[YavorD]

Monstrous ride from Ganna to take a very dominant win.

Small gaps among GC riders. Arensman was the fastest but I really don't think these explosive climbs are well suited to him. I believe that Del Toro is the strongest rider in the race but Red Bull seems to have the strongest team with several cards to play so it should be really interesting to follow.

Christen isn't a bad back up on these climbs either.
Could be an interesting tactical battle.