I voted maybe.
Tony will probably place 15* to 25 (I will reassess at fin of Dauphine), so I recon he is an small* outside chance of a top 10 at le Tour.
So far Tony may have just had a bad day/slow start to Dauphine. Maybe he was planning on soft pedalling and then felt off colour???
Form (and that still is a big imponderable) aside, his biggest obstacle is his team.
His team will not support him unless he demonstrates great form early on (first week) which detracts from his chances of being in good shape come week 3. Even if in good form he will be called upon to assist Cav. And I assume given his strength, Tony will be called upon to support Cav more than Velits. This leaves Velits in a better position to contend for GC...therefore leaving Tony faced with supporting Velits.
Come to think of it, *modified from 12 to 15 and added small.